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{{Short description|Hypothetical outcome of artificial intelligence}}
{{See also|Machine Rule}}
[[File:Capek RUR.jpg|thumbnail|upright=1.2|Robots revolt in ''[[R.U.R.]]'', a 1920 Czech play translated as "Rossum's Universal Robots"]]
{{Artificial intelligence}}
An '''AI takeover''' is an imagined scenario in which [[artificial intelligence]] (AI) emerges as the dominant form of [[intelligence]] on Earth and [[computer program]]s or [[robot]]s effectively take control of the planet away from the [[human species]], which relies on [[human intelligence]]. Stories of [[AI takeover in popular culture|AI takeovers remain popular]] throughout [[science fiction]], but recent advancements have made the threat more real. Possible scenarios include [[Technological unemployment|replacement of the entire human workforce]] due to [[automation]], takeover by a [[superintelligent AI]] (ASI), and the notion of a '''robot uprising'''. Some public figures, such as [[Stephen Hawking]] and [[Elon Musk]], have advocated research into [[AI control problem|precautionary measures]] to ensure future superintelligent machines remain under human control.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Lewis |first=Tanya |date=2015-01-12 |title=''Don't Let Artificial Intelligence Take Over, Top Scientists Warn'' |url=http://www.livescience.com/49419-artificial-intelligence-dangers-letter.html |access-date=October 20, 2015 |website=[[LiveScience]] |publisher=[[Purch]] |quote=Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk and dozens of other top scientists and technology leaders have signed a letter warning of the potential dangers of developing artificial intelligence (AI). |archive-date=2018-03-08 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180308100411/https://www.livescience.com/49419-artificial-intelligence-dangers-letter.html |url-status=live }}</ref>


== Types ==
'''Cybernetic revolt,''' more commonly known as "'''the computers take over'''", is a [[science fiction]] [[scenario]] in which [[Artificial Intelligence|artificial intelligences]] (often a single [[supercomputer]] or a computer network) decide that [[human race|humans]] are a threat (to either themselves or to the machines) and try to control or destroy them, potentially leading to [[Machine Rule]]. In this genre, humans often prevail using "human" qualities, for example using [[emotion]]s, [[illogic]], or exploiting the postulated rigid thinking and lack of innovation of the computer's mind.
=== Automation of the economy ===
{{Main|Technological unemployment}}


The traditional consensus among economists has been that technological progress does not cause long-term unemployment. However, recent innovation in the fields of [[robotics]] and artificial intelligence has raised worries that human labor will become obsolete, leaving people in various sectors without jobs to earn a living, leading to an economic crisis.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Lee |first=Kai-Fu |date=2017-06-24 |title=The Real Threat of Artificial Intelligence |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/24/opinion/sunday/artificial-intelligence-economic-inequality.html |access-date=2017-08-15 |website=[[The New York Times]] |quote=These tools can outperform human beings at a given task. This kind of A.I. is spreading to thousands of domains, and as it does, it will eliminate many jobs. |archive-date=2020-04-17 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200417183307/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/24/opinion/sunday/artificial-intelligence-economic-inequality.html |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Larson |first=Nina |date=2017-06-08 |title=AI 'good for the world'... says ultra-lifelike robot |url=https://phys.org/news/2017-06-ai-good-world-ultra-lifelike-robot.html |access-date=2017-08-15 |website=[[Phys.org]] |quote=Among the feared consequences of the rise of the robots is the growing impact they will have on human jobs and economies. |archive-date=2020-03-06 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200306021915/https://phys.org/news/2017-06-ai-good-world-ultra-lifelike-robot.html |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Santini |first=Jean-Louis |date=2016-02-14 |title=Intelligent robots threaten millions of jobs |url=https://phys.org/news/2016-02-intelligent-robots-threaten-millions-jobs.html#nRlv |access-date=2017-08-15 |website=[[Phys.org]] |quote="We are approaching a time when machines will be able to outperform humans at almost any task," said Moshe Vardi, director of the Institute for Information Technology at Rice University in Texas. |archive-date=2019-01-01 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190101014340/https://phys.org/news/2016-02-intelligent-robots-threaten-millions-jobs.html#nRlv |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Williams-Grut |first=Oscar |date=2016-02-15 |title=Robots will steal your job: How AI could increase unemployment and inequality |url=http://www.businessinsider.com/robots-will-steal-your-job-citi-ai-increase-unemployment-inequality-2016-2?r=UK&IR=T |access-date=2017-08-15 |website=[[Businessinsider.com]] |publisher=[[Business Insider]] |quote=Top computer scientists in the US warned that the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) and robots in the workplace could cause mass unemployment and dislocated economies, rather than simply unlocking productivity gains and freeing us all up to watch TV and play sports. |archive-date=2017-08-16 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170816061548/http://www.businessinsider.com/robots-will-steal-your-job-citi-ai-increase-unemployment-inequality-2016-2?r=UK&IR=T |url-status=live }}</ref> Many small and medium size businesses may also be driven out of business if they cannot afford or licence the latest robotic and AI technology, and may need to focus on areas or services that cannot easily be replaced for continued viability in the face of such technology.<ref>{{Cite news |date=2017-10-17 |title=How can SMEs prepare for the rise of the robots? |language=en-US |work=LeanStaff |url=http://www.leanstaff.co.uk/robot-apocalypse/ |url-status=dead |access-date=2017-10-17 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171018073852/http://www.leanstaff.co.uk/robot-apocalypse/ |archive-date=2017-10-18}}</ref>
While so far a fictional scenario, major academics and researchers have called for humanity to confront the possible ramifications of AI before they could occur.


==== Technologies that may displace workers ====
==Relevance==
AI technologies have been widely adopted in recent years. While these technologies have replaced some traditional workers, they also create new opportunities. Industries that are most susceptible to AI takeover include transportation, retail, and military. AI military technologies, for example, allow soldiers to work remotely without risk of injury. A study in 2024 highlights AI's ability to perform routine and repetitive tasks poses significant risks of job displacement, especially in sectors like manufacturing and administrative support.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Hassan Soueidan |first1=Mohamad |last2=Shoghari |first2=Rodwan |date=2024-05-09 |title=The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Job Loss: Risks for Governments |url=https://techniumscience.com/index.php/socialsciences/article/view/10917 |journal=Technium Social Sciences Journal |volume=57 |pages=206–223 |language=en-US |doi=10.47577/tssj.v57i1.10917|doi-access=free }}</ref> Author Dave Bond argues that as AI technologies continue to develop and expand, the relationship between humans and robots will change; they will become closely integrated in several aspects of life. AI will likely displace some workers while creating opportunities for new jobs in other sectors, especially in fields where tasks are repeatable.<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Frank|first=Morgan|date=2019-03-25|title=Toward understanding the impact of artificial intelligence on labor|journal=Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America|volume=116|issue=14|pages=6531–6539|doi=10.1073/pnas.1900949116|pmid=30910965|pmc=6452673|bibcode=2019PNAS..116.6531F |doi-access=free}}</ref><ref>{{Cite book|last=Bond|first=Dave|title=Artificial Intelligence|year=2017|pages=67–69}}</ref>


==== Computer-integrated manufacturing ====
The fear of humanity being made obsolete by technology taps into some of modern man's deepest fears. This can be shown to have been the case even before the computer became prominent, as [[Charlie Chaplin]]'s movie ''[[Modern Times (film)|Modern Times]]'' shows. However, even as he was slowly being displaced from most physical tasks, man has always prided himself on his brain, taking the mechanistic 'thoughts' of early computers as proof that he would not be overtaken by his own [[Frankenstein's monster|'Frankenstein' creations]].
{{See also|Artificial intelligence in industry}}


[[Computer-integrated manufacturing]] uses computers to control the production process. This allows individual processes to exchange information with each other and initiate actions. Although manufacturing can be faster and less error-prone by the integration of computers, the main advantage is the ability to create automated manufacturing processes. Computer-integrated manufacturing is used in automotive, aviation, space, and ship building industries.
While [[artificial intelligence]] is still a remote concept at this time, successes in simulating parts of intelligence - as for example in the victories of the [[IBM Deep Blue|Deep Blue]] chess computer - have shaken mankind's certainty about its permanent place at the top of sentience.


==== White-collar machines ====
==Reality==
{{See also|White-collar worker}}


The 21st century has seen a variety of skilled tasks partially taken over by machines, including translation, legal research, and journalism. Care work, entertainment, and other tasks requiring empathy, previously thought safe from automation, have also begun to be performed by robots.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Skidelsky |first=Robert |author-link=Robert Skidelsky, Baron Skidelsky |date=2013-02-19 |title=Rise of the robots: what will the future of work look like? |url=https://www.theguardian.com/business/2013/feb/19/rise-of-robots-future-of-work |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403203821/https://www.theguardian.com/business/2013/feb/19/rise-of-robots-future-of-work |archive-date=2019-04-03 |access-date=14 July 2015 |work=The Guardian |location=London, England}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Bria |first=Francesca |date=February 2016 |title=The robot economy may already have arrived |url=https://www.opendemocracy.net/can-europe-make-it/francesca-bria/robot-economy-full-automation-work-future |access-date=20 May 2016 |publisher=[[openDemocracy]] |archive-date=17 May 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160517215840/https://www.opendemocracy.net/can-europe-make-it/francesca-bria/robot-economy-full-automation-work-future |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Srnicek |first=Nick |author-link=Nick Srnicek |date=March 2016 |title=4 Reasons Why Technological Unemployment Might Really Be Different This Time |url=http://wire.novaramedia.com/2015/03/4-reasons-why-technological-unemployment-might-really-be-different-this-time/ |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160625161447/http://wire.novaramedia.com/2015/03/4-reasons-why-technological-unemployment-might-really-be-different-this-time/ |archive-date=25 June 2016 |access-date=20 May 2016 |publisher=novara wire}}</ref><ref>{{Cite book |last1=Brynjolfsson |first1=Erik |title=The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies |last2=McAfee |first2=Andrew |publisher=W. W. Norton & Company |year=2014 |isbn=978-0393239355 |chapter=''passim'', see esp Chpt. 9}}</ref>
===Computing power===


==== Autonomous cars ====
As [[Moore's law]] has shown, computer power has (seemingly) limitless growth potential. While there are physical constraints to the speed at which modern microprocessors can function, scientists are already considering means to eventually supersede these limits, such as [[quantum computers]]. As [[Future studies|futurist]] and [[computer scientist]] [[Raymond Kurzweil]] has noted, "There are physical limits to computation, but they're not very limiting." If this process of growth continues, and existing problems in creating artificial intelligence are overcome, sentient machines are likely to immediately hold an enormous advantage in at least some forms of mental capability, including the capacity of [[perfect recall]], a vastly superior knowledge base, and the ability to [[multitask]] in ways not possible to biological entities. This may give them the opportunity to - either as a single being or as a new [[species]] - become much more powerful than humans, and to displace them.


An [[Self-driving car|autonomous car]] is a vehicle that is capable of sensing its environment and navigating without human input. Many such vehicles are being developed, but as of May 2017, automated cars permitted on public roads are not yet fully autonomous. They all require a human driver at the wheel who at a moment's notice can take control of the vehicle. Among the obstacles to widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles are concerns about the resulting loss of driving-related jobs in the road transport industry. On March 18, 2018, [[Death of Elaine Herzberg|the first human was killed]] by an autonomous vehicle in [[Tempe, Arizona]] by an [[Uber]] self-driving car.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Wakabayashi |first=Daisuke |date=March 19, 2018 |title=Self-Driving Uber Car Kills Pedestrian in Arizona, Where Robots Roam |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/19/technology/uber-driverless-fatality.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200421221918/https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/19/technology/uber-driverless-fatality.html |archive-date=April 21, 2020 |access-date=March 23, 2018 |work=New York Times |location=New York, New York}}</ref>
===Necessity of conflict===


==== AI-generated content ====
For a cybernetic revolt to occur, it has to be [[postulate|postulated]] that two intelligent species cannot coexist peacefully in a single society - especially if one is of much more advanced intelligence and power.{{Fact|date=February 2007}} While a cybernetic revolt (where the machine is the more advanced species) is thus a possible outcome of machines gaining sentience, neither can it be disproven that a peaceful outcome is possible. The fear of a cybernetic revolt is often based on interpretations of humanity's history, which is rife with incidents of enslavement and genocide. However, there are some examples of less advanced cultures existing in parallel to advanced onces (e.g. the [[Amish]]).
{{See also|Artificial intelligence art}}
The use of automated content has become relevant since the technological advancements in artificial intelligence models such as [[ChatGPT]], [[DALL-E]], and [[Stable Diffusion]]. In most cases, AI-generated content such as imagery, literature, and music are produced through text prompts and these AI models have been integrated into other creative programs. Artists are threatened by displacement from AI-generated content due to these models sampling from other creative works, producing results sometimes indiscernible to those of man-made content. This complication has become widespread enough to where other artists and programmers are creating software and utility programs to retaliate against these text-to-image models from giving accurate outputs. While some industries in the economy benefit from artificial intelligence through new jobs, this issue does not create new jobs and threatens replacement entirely. It has made public headlines in the media recently: In February 2024, [[Willy's Chocolate Experience]] in [[Glasgow, Scotland]] was an infamous children's event in which the imagery and scripts were created using artificial intelligence models to the dismay of children, parents, and actors involved. There is an ongoing lawsuit placed against [[OpenAI]] from [[The New York Times]] where it is claimed that there is copyright infringement due to the sampling methods their artificial intelligence models use for their outputs.<ref>{{cite book | last1 = Jiang | first1 = Harry H. | last2 = Brown | first2 = Lauren | last3 = Cheng | first3 = Jessica | last4 = Khan | first4 = Mehtab | last5 = Gupta | first5 = Abhishek | last6 = Workman | first6 = Deja | last7 = Hanna | first7 = Alex | last8 = Flowers | first8 = Johnathan | last9 = Gebru | first9 = Timnit | chapter = AI Art and its Impact on Artists | title = Proceedings of the 2023 AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society | pages = 363–374 | publisher = Association for Computing Machinery | date = 29 August 2023 | doi = 10.1145/3600211.3604681 | doi-access = free | isbn = 979-8-4007-0231-0 }}</ref><ref>{{cite arXiv | title = Can There be Art Without an Artist? | last1 = Ghosh | first1 = Avijit | last2 = Fossas | first2 = Genoveva | date = 19 November 2022 | class = cs.AI | eprint = 2209.07667 }}</ref><ref>{{cite arXiv | title = Glaze: Protecting Artists from Style Mimicry by Text-to-Image Models | last1 = Shan | first1 = Shawn | last2 = Cryan | first2 = Jenna | last3 = Wenger | first3 = Emily | last4 = Zheng | first4 = Haitao | last5 = Hanocka | first5 = Rana | last6 = Zhao | first6 = Ben Y. | date = 3 August 2023 | class = cs.CR | eprint = 2302.04222 }}</ref><ref>{{cite news | last = Brooks | first = Libby | title = Glasgow Willy Wonka experience called a 'farce' as tickets refunded | work = The Guardian | date = 27 February 2024 | url = https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/feb/27/glasgow-willy-wonka-experience-slammed-as-farce-as-tickets-refunded | access-date = 2 April 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite news | last1 = Metz | first1 = Cade | last2 = Robertson | first2 = Katie | title = OpenAI Seeks to Dismiss Parts of The New York Times's Lawsuit | work = The New York Times | date = 27 February 2024 | url = https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/27/technology/openai-new-york-times-lawsuit.html?smid=url-share | access-date = 4 April 2024}}</ref>


=== Eradication ===
Such fears stem from a belief that competitiveness and aggression are necessary in any intelligent being's goal system. Such human competitiveness stems from the evolutionary background to our intelligence, where the survival and reproduction of genes in the face of human and non-human competitors was the central goal.<ref>''[http://www.singinst.org/ourresearch/presentations/ Creating a New Intelligent Species: Choices and Responsibilities for Artificial Intelligence Designers]'' - [[Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence]], 2005</ref> In fact, an arbitrary intelligence could have arbitrary goals: there is no particular reason that an artificially-intelligent machine (not sharing humanity's evolutionary context) would be hostile - or friendly - unless its creator programs it to be such (and indeed military systems would be designed to be hostile, at least under certain circumstances).
{{Main|Existential risk from artificial general intelligence}}


Scientists such as [[Stephen Hawking]] are confident that superhuman artificial intelligence is physically possible, stating "there is no physical law precluding particles from being organised in ways that perform even more advanced computations than the arrangements of particles in human brains".<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Hawking |first1=Stephen |last2=Russell |first2=Stuart J. |author2-link=Stuart J. Russell |last3=Tegmark |first3=Max |author3-link=Max Tegmark |last4=Wilczek |first4=Frank |author4-link=Frank Wilczek |date=1 May 2014 |title=Stephen Hawking: 'Transcendence looks at the implications of artificial intelligence - but are we taking AI seriously enough?' |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/stephen-hawking-transcendence-looks-at-the-implications-of-artificial-intelligence-but-are-we-taking-9313474.html |url-access=limited |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151002023652/http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/stephen-hawking-transcendence-looks-at-the-implications-of-artificial-intelligence-but-are-we-taking-9313474.html |archive-date=2015-10-02 |access-date=1 April 2016 |work=The Independent}}</ref><ref>{{cite book | last1=Müller | first1=Vincent C. | author-link1=Vincent C. Müller | last2=Bostrom | first2=Nick | author-link2=Nick Bostrom | title=Fundamental Issues of Artificial Intelligence | chapter=Future Progress in Artificial Intelligence: A Survey of Expert Opinion | publisher=Springer | year=2016 | isbn=978-3-319-26483-7 | doi=10.1007/978-3-319-26485-1_33 | pages=555–572 | chapter-url=https://nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf | quote=AI systems will... reach overall human ability... very likely (with 90% probability) by 2075. From reaching human ability, it will move on to superintelligence within 30 years (75%)... So, (most of the AI experts responding to the surveys) think that superintelligence is likely to come in a few decades... | access-date=2022-06-16 | archive-date=2022-05-31 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220531142709/https://nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf | url-status=live }}</ref> Scholars like [[Nick Bostrom]] debate how far off superhuman intelligence is, and whether it poses a risk to mankind. According to Bostrom, a superintelligent machine would not necessarily be motivated by the same ''emotional'' desire to collect power that often drives human beings but might rather treat power as a means toward attaining its ultimate goals; taking over the world would both increase its access to resources and help to prevent other agents from stopping the machine's plans. As an oversimplified example, a [[Instrumental convergence#Paperclip maximizer|paperclip maximizer]] designed solely to create as many paperclips as possible would want to take over the world so that it can use all of the world's resources to create as many paperclips as possible, and, additionally, prevent humans from shutting it down or using those resources on things other than paperclips.<ref>{{cite journal | last=Bostrom | first=Nick | title=The Superintelligent Will: Motivation and Instrumental Rationality in Advanced Artificial Agents | journal=Minds and Machines | publisher=Springer | volume=22 | issue=2 | year=2012 | doi=10.1007/s11023-012-9281-3 | pages=71–85 | s2cid=254835485 | url=https://nickbostrom.com/superintelligentwill.pdf | access-date=2022-06-16 | archive-date=2022-07-09 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220709032134/https://nickbostrom.com/superintelligentwill.pdf | url-status=live }}</ref>
Some scientists dispute the liklihood of cybernetic revolts as depicted in science fiction such as [[The Matrix]], claiming that it is more likley that any artificial intelligences powerful enough to threaten humanity would probably be programmed not to attack it. This would not, however, protect against the possibility of a revolt initiated by terrorists, or by accident.


== In fiction ==
===Technological singularity===
{{Main|AI takeovers in popular culture}}
{{See also|Artificial intelligence in fiction|Self-replicating machines in fiction}}


AI takeover is a common theme in [[science fiction]]. Fictional scenarios typically differ vastly from those hypothesized by researchers in that they involve an active conflict between humans and an AI or robots with anthropomorphic motives who see them as a threat or otherwise have active desire to fight humans, as opposed to the researchers' concern of an AI that rapidly exterminates humans as a byproduct of pursuing its goals.<ref name="bostrom-superintelligence">{{Cite book |last=Bostrom |first=Nick |title=Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies |title-link=Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies}}</ref> The idea is seen in [[Karel Čapek]]'s ''[[R.U.R.]]'', which introduced the word ''robot'' in 1921,<ref>{{Cite news |date=22 April 2011 |title=The Origin Of The Word 'Robot' |work=[[Science Friday]] (public radio) |url=https://www.sciencefriday.com/segments/the-origin-of-the-word-robot/ |access-date=30 April 2020 |archive-date=14 March 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200314092540/https://www.sciencefriday.com/segments/the-origin-of-the-word-robot/ |url-status=live }}</ref> and can be glimpsed in [[Mary Shelley]]'s ''[[Frankenstein]]'' (published in 1818), as Victor ponders whether, if he grants [[Frankenstein's monster|his monster's]] request and makes him a wife, they would reproduce and their kind would destroy humanity.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Botkin-Kowacki |first=Eva |date=28 October 2016 |title=A female Frankenstein would lead to humanity's extinction, say scientists |work=Christian Science Monitor |url=https://www.csmonitor.com/Science/2016/1028/A-female-Frankenstein-would-lead-to-humanity-s-extinction-say-scientists |access-date=30 April 2020 |archive-date=26 February 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210226203855/https://www.csmonitor.com/Science/2016/1028/A-female-Frankenstein-would-lead-to-humanity-s-extinction-say-scientists |url-status=live }}</ref>
{{Main|Technological singularity}}


According to [[Toby Ord]], the idea that an AI takeover requires robots is a misconception driven by the media and Hollywood. He argues that the most damaging humans in history were not physically the strongest, but that they used words instead to convince people and gain control of large parts of the world. He writes that a ''sufficiently'' intelligent AI with an access to the internet could scatter backup copies of itself, gather financial and human resources (via cyberattacks or blackmails), persuade people on a large scale, and exploit societal vulnerabilities that are too subtle for humans to anticipate.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Ord |first=Toby |title=The precipice: existential risk and the future of humanity |date=2020 |publisher=Bloomsbury academic |isbn=978-1-5266-0023-3 |location=London, England and New York, New York |language=en |chapter=Unaligned artificial intelligence}}</ref>
Some groups, called [[Singularitarians]], who advocate what might be defined as a peaceful (non-violent, non-invasive, non-coercive) cybernetic revolt known as a 'technological singularity', argue that it is in humanity's best interests to bring about such an event, as long as it can be ensured that the event would be beneficial. They postulate that a society run by intelligent machines (or [[cyborgs]]) could potentially be vastly more efficient than a society run by human beings. A society led by friendly, [[altruism|altruistic]] sentiences of this type would therefore be to humanity's great benefit. To this end, there has been much recent work in what has become known as [[Friendly AI|Friendliness Theory]], which holds that, as advocate and AI researcher [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]] states, "... you ought to be able to reach into 'mind-design-space' (i.e. the hypothetical realm which contains all possible intelligent minds) and pull out a mind (design an intelligent machine) such that afterwords, you're glad you made it real."<ref>''[http://www.singinst.org/media/thehumanimportanceoftheintelligenceexplosion The Human Importance of the Intelligence Explosion]'' - [[Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence]], 2006</ref>


The word "robot" from ''R.U.R.'' comes from the Czech word, ''robota'', meaning laborer or [[serf]]. The 1920 play was a protest against the rapid growth of technology, featuring manufactured "robots" with increasing capabilities who eventually revolt.<ref name="surgery">{{Cite journal |last1=Hockstein |first1=N. G. |last2=Gourin |first2=C. G. |last3=Faust |first3=R. A. |last4=Terris |first4=D. J. |date=17 March 2007 |title=A history of robots: from science fiction to surgical robotics |journal=Journal of Robotic Surgery |volume=1 |issue=2 |pages=113–118 |doi=10.1007/s11701-007-0021-2 |pmc=4247417 |pmid=25484946}}</ref> [[HAL 9000]] (1968) and the original [[Terminator (character)|Terminator]] (1984) are two iconic examples of hostile AI in pop culture.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Hellmann |first=Melissa |date=21 September 2019 |title=AI 101: What is artificial intelligence and where is it going? |work=The Seattle Times |url=https://www.seattletimes.com/business/technology/ai-101-what-is-artificial-intelligence-and-where-is-it-going/ |access-date=30 April 2020 |archive-date=21 April 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200421232439/https://www.seattletimes.com/business/technology/ai-101-what-is-artificial-intelligence-and-where-is-it-going/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
==In fiction==
===Cinema & TV===
* The film ''[[Alphaville, une étrange aventure de Lemmy Caution]]'' by [[Jean-Luc Godard]]
* [[Cylon (Battlestar Galactica)|Cylons]] from the reimagined ''[[Battlestar Galactica (re-imagining)|Battlestar Galactica]]''.
* The films [[Westworld]] and [[Futureworld]].
* The film ''[[I, Robot (movie)|I, Robot]]'' starring Will Smith. Title and some details taken from short stories by [[Isaac Asimov]]
* The film ''[[Colossus: The Forbin Project]]'' from the novel by [[Dennis Feltham Jones]]
* ''[[The Matrix]]'' series of films, especially [[The Second Renaissance]]
* ''[[The Terminator]]'' series of films
* ''[[Tron (movie)|Tron]]'' (The computer MCP is defeated before getting far in his plan, however)
* [[WOPR]] in the 1983 film ''[[WarGames]]'' (perhaps a case of cybernetic confusion rather than revolt)
* ''[[Captain Power]] and the Soldiers of the Future'', a television series that ran for one season.
* ''[[Omega Doom]]'' a 1996 film
* ''[[American Cyborg: Steel Warrior]]'' a 1992 film
* ''[[Screamers (film)|Screamers]]'' a 1995 film
* ''[[Gunhed]]'' or ''[[Ganheddo]]'' a 1989 film
* The [[Replicator (Stargate)|Replicators]] from ''[[Stargate SG-1]]''
* ''[[Lego Exo-Force]]'' a 2006 Television series
* The [[D-Reaper]] from ''[[Digimon Tamers]]''
* ''[[Casshan]]'', a 1973 anime series and 1993 OVA releaser
* a 2001 3D-CG Chinese animated TV series called ''[[Zentrix]]''
* ''[[Galaxy Express 999]]'' anime series, ovas and movie
* [[The Human Operators (The Outer Limits)|''The Human Operators'']] an episode of the new ''[[The Outer Limits]]'' TV series
* [[Resurrection (The Outer Limits)|''Resurrection'']] an episode of the new ''[[The Outer Limits]]'' TV series
* ''[[Meet the Robinsons]]'', the 'Helping Hats'


== Contributing factors ==
===Literature===
=== Advantages of superhuman intelligence over humans ===
* The [[1872]] novel [[Erewhon]]'s section 'The Book of Machines'
[[Nick Bostrom]] and others have expressed concern that an AI with the abilities of a competent artificial intelligence researcher would be able to modify its own source code and increase its own intelligence. If its self-reprogramming leads to getting even better at being able to reprogram itself, the result could be a recursive [[intelligence explosion]] in which it would rapidly leave human intelligence far behind. Bostrom defines a superintelligence as "any intellect that greatly exceeds the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest", and enumerates some advantages a superintelligence would have if it chose to compete against humans:<ref name=bostrom-superintelligence/><!-- bostrom-superintelligence, Chapter 6: Cognitive Superpowers, Table 8 --><ref name="BabcockKrámar2019">{{Cite book |last1=Babcock |first1=James |title=Next-Generation Ethics |last2=Krámar |first2=János |last3=Yampolskiy |first3=Roman V. |year=2019 |isbn=9781108616188 |pages=90–112 |chapter=Guidelines for Artificial Intelligence Containment |doi=10.1017/9781108616188.008 |author-link3=Roman Yampolskiy |arxiv=1707.08476 |s2cid=22007028}}<!-- in Next-Generation Ethics: Engineering a Better Society, Cambridge University Press --></ref>
* The [[1909]] short story ''[[The Machine Stops]]'' by [[E. M. Forster]] (emphasizing machinery instead of computers)
* The [[1921]] play ''[[R.U.R. (Rossum's Universal Robots)|R.U.R.]]'' by [[Karel Capek|Karel Čapek]]
* The [[1947]] short story ''[[With Folded Hands]]'' by [[Jack Williamson]]
* The [[1948]] short story ''The Brain'' by [[Alexander Blade]]
* The [[1954]] short story ''[[Slaves To The Metal Horde]]'' by [[Milton Lesser]]
* The [[1954]] short story ''[[Answer (short story)|Answer]]'' by [[Fredric Brown]]
* The [[1963]] comic books series ''[[Magnus, Robot Fighter]]'' by [[Gold Key Comics]]
* The [[1966]] novel ''[[Colossus (novel)|Colossus]]'' by [[Dennis Feltham Jones]]
* The [[1967]]-[[2005]] ''[[Berserker (Saberhagen)|Berserker]]'' series by [[Fred Saberhagen]]
* The [[1967]] short story ''[[I Have No Mouth and I Must Scream]]'' by [[Harlan Ellison]]
* The [[1967]] [[The Cyberiad]] is a series of short stories by [[Stanisław Lem]]
* The [[1968]] novel [[The God Machine (1968 novel)|''The God Machine'']] by [[Martin Caidin]]
* The [[1969]] novel ''[[Plan for Conquest]]'' by [[A.A. Glynn]]
* The [[1980]] the [[Hazel O'Connor]] song ''[[The Eighth Day]]''
* The [[1985]] novel ''[[The Adolescence of P-1]]'' by Thomas J. Ryan
* The [[1989]] short story ''[[La Rebelión de los Robots]]'' in spanish by [[Alberto I. Balcells]]
* The [[1994]] novel ''[[The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect]]'' by [[Roger Williams]]
* The [[1995]] Comics ''[[Tales of the Jedi: Dark Lords of the Sith]]" ([[Great Droid Revolution]])
* The [[1996]] short story from Star Wars saga ''[[Therefore I Am: The Tale of IG-88]]'' by [[Kevin Anderson]]
* The [[1977]]-[[1996]] ''[[Galaxy Express 999]]'' manga series
* The [[1997]] book ''[[March of the Machines: Why the New Race of Robots Will Rule the World]]'' by [[Kevin Warwick]]
* The [[2003]] ''[[Robota]]'' an illustrated book by [[Doug Chiang]] and [[Orson Scott Card]]
* The [[2003]]-[[2004]] ''[[Legends Of Dune|Legends Of Dune trilogy]]'' (part of the ''[[Dune universe]]'')
* The [[2003]] [[The Matrix]] [[comic books]]
* The [[2004]] novel "[[River of Gods]]" by [[Ian McDonald]]
* The [[2004]] manga [[Deus Vitae]]a series created by [[Takuya Fujima]]
* The [[2005]] book ''[[How to Survive a Robot Uprising]]'' a semi-satirical book by [[Daniel Wilson]]
* The [[2005]] book and short story ''[[The Artilect War]]'' by [[Hugo de Garis]]
* The [[2005]]-[[2007]] ''[[Lego Exo-Force]]'' comics and books


* Technology research: A machine with superhuman scientific research abilities would be able to beat the human research community to milestones such as nanotechnology or advanced biotechnology
===Gaming===
* [[Strategy|Strategizing]]: A superintelligence might be able to simply outwit human opposition
*''[[Earthsiege]]'' and sequels, from [[Sierra Entertainment]].
* Social manipulation: A superintelligence might be able to recruit human support,<ref name=bostrom-superintelligence /> or covertly incite a war between humans<ref>{{Cite news |last=Baraniuk |first=Chris |date=23 May 2016 |title=Checklist of worst-case scenarios could help prepare for evil AI |work=[[New Scientist]] |url=https://www.newscientist.com/article/2089606-checklist-of-worst-case-scenarios-could-help-prepare-for-evil-ai/ |access-date=21 September 2016 |archive-date=21 September 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160921061131/https://www.newscientist.com/article/2089606-checklist-of-worst-case-scenarios-could-help-prepare-for-evil-ai/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
*''[[Neuroshima]]'', the [[Poland|Polish]] [[role-playing game]] from Portal Publishing.
* Economic productivity: As long as a copy of the AI could produce more economic wealth than the cost of its hardware, individual humans would have an incentive to voluntarily allow the [[Artificial General Intelligence]] (AGI) to run a copy of itself on their systems
*''[[I Have No Mouth, and I Must Scream (computer game)|I Have No Mouth, and I Must Scream]]'' from [[Cyberdreams]]
* Hacking: A superintelligence could find new exploits in computers connected to the Internet, and spread copies of itself onto those systems, or might steal money to finance its plans
*''[[GURPS Reign of Steel]]'', a setting for the [[GURPS]] role playing system.
*''[[Mega Man X series]]'', a video game series created by [[Capcom]] and [[Keiji Inafume]].
*''[[Command & Conquer: Tiberian Sun]]'''s expansion pack ''Firestorm'' from [[Westwood Studios]].


==== Sources of AI advantage ====
==See also==
According to Bostrom, a computer program that faithfully emulates a human brain, or that runs algorithms that are as powerful as the human brain's algorithms, could still become a "speed superintelligence" if it can think orders of magnitude faster than a human, due to being made of silicon rather than flesh, or due to optimization increasing the speed of the AGI. Biological neurons operate at about 200&nbsp;Hz, whereas a modern microprocessor operates at a speed of about 2,000,000,000&nbsp;Hz. Human axons carry action potentials at around 120&nbsp;m/s, whereas computer signals travel near the speed of light.<ref name="bostrom-superintelligence" /><!-- chapter 3 -->
*[[Technological singularity]]
Self-replicating machines:
*[[Clanking replicator]]
*[[Grey goo]]
*[[Self-replication]]
*[[Self-modifying code]]
*[[Computer viruses]]


A network of human-level intelligences designed to network together and share complex thoughts and memories seamlessly, able to collectively work as a giant unified team without friction, or consisting of trillions of human-level intelligences, would become a "collective superintelligence".<ref name="bostrom-superintelligence" /><!-- chapter 3 -->
"Smart" machines:
*[[Biological computer]]
*[[Quantum computer]]
*[[Robot]]
*[[Artificial intelligence]]


More broadly, any number of qualitative improvements to a human-level AGI could result in a "quality superintelligence", perhaps resulting in an AGI as far above us in intelligence as humans are above apes. The number of neurons in a human brain is limited by cranial volume and metabolic constraints, while the number of processors in a supercomputer can be indefinitely expanded. An AGI need not be limited by human constraints on [[working memory]], and might therefore be able to intuitively grasp more complex relationships than humans can. An AGI with specialized cognitive support for engineering or computer programming would have an advantage in these fields, compared with humans who evolved no specialized mental modules to specifically deal with those domains. Unlike humans, an AGI can spawn copies of itself and tinker with its copies' source code to attempt to further improve its algorithms.<ref name="bostrom-superintelligence" /><!-- chapter 3 -->
==References==
<references/>


=== Possibility of unfriendly AI preceding friendly AI ===
==External links==
*[http://www.singinst.org/ The Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence] (official institute website)


==== Is strong AI inherently dangerous? ====
{{main|AI alignment}}
A significant problem is that unfriendly artificial intelligence is likely to be much easier to create than friendly AI. While both require large advances in recursive optimisation process design, friendly AI also requires the ability to make goal structures invariant under self-improvement (or the AI could transform itself into something unfriendly) and a goal structure that aligns with human values and does not undergo [[instrumental convergence]] in ways that may automatically destroy the entire human race. An unfriendly AI, on the other hand, can optimize for an arbitrary goal structure, which does not need to be invariant under self-modification.<ref name="singinst12">{{Cite web |last=Yudkowsky |first=Eliezer S. |date=May 2004 |title=Coherent Extrapolated Volition |url=http://singinst.org/upload/CEV.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120615203944/http://singinst.org/upload/CEV.html |archive-date=2012-06-15 |publisher=Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence}}</ref>

The sheer complexity of human value systems makes it very difficult to make AI's motivations human-friendly.<ref name="bostrom-superintelligence" /><ref name="Muehlhauser, Luke 2012">{{Cite book |last1=Muehlhauser |first1=Luke |title=Singularity Hypotheses: A Scientific and Philosophical Assessment |last2=Helm |first2=Louie |publisher=Springer |year=2012 |chapter=Intelligence Explosion and Machine Ethics |chapter-url=https://intelligence.org/files/IE-ME.pdf |access-date=2020-10-02 |archive-date=2015-05-07 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150507173028/http://intelligence.org/files/IE-ME.pdf |url-status=live }}</ref> Unless moral philosophy provides us with a flawless ethical theory, an AI's utility function could allow for many potentially harmful scenarios that conform with a given ethical framework but not "common sense". According to [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]], there is little reason to suppose that an artificially designed mind would have such an adaptation.<ref name="Yudkowsky2011">{{Cite book |last=Yudkowsky |first=Eliezer |title=Artificial General Intelligence |year=2011 |isbn=978-3-642-22886-5 |series=Lecture Notes in Computer Science |volume=6830 |pages=388–393 |chapter=Complex Value Systems in Friendly AI |doi=10.1007/978-3-642-22887-2_48 |issn=0302-9743}}</ref>

==== Odds of conflict ====
Many scholars, including evolutionary psychologist [[Steven Pinker]], argue that a superintelligent machine is likely to coexist peacefully with humans.<ref name="pinker now">{{Cite news |last=Pinker |first=Steven |date=13 February 2018 |title=We're told to fear robots. But why do we think they'll turn on us? |language=en |work=Popular Science |url=https://www.popsci.com/robot-uprising-enlightenment-now/ |access-date=8 June 2020 |archive-date=20 July 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200720164306/https://www.popsci.com/robot-uprising-enlightenment-now/ |url-status=live }}</ref>

The fear of cybernetic revolt is often based on interpretations of humanity's history, which is rife with incidents of enslavement and genocide. Such fears stem from a belief that competitiveness and aggression are necessary in any intelligent being's goal system. However, such human competitiveness stems from the evolutionary background to our intelligence, where the survival and reproduction of genes in the face of human and non-human competitors was the central goal.<ref>''[http://www.singinst.org/ourresearch/presentations/ Creating a New Intelligent Species: Choices and Responsibilities for Artificial Intelligence Designers] {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070206060938/http://www.singinst.org/ourresearch/presentations/ |date=February 6, 2007 }}'' - [[Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence]], 2005</ref> According to AI researcher [[Steve Omohundro]], an arbitrary intelligence could have arbitrary goals: there is no particular reason that an artificially intelligent machine (not sharing humanity's evolutionary context) would be hostile—or friendly—unless its creator programs it to be such and it is not inclined or capable of modifying its programming. But the question remains: what would happen if AI systems could interact and evolve (evolution in this context means self-modification or selection and reproduction) and need to compete over resources—would that create goals of self-preservation? AI's goal of self-preservation could be in conflict with some goals of humans.<ref>{{Cite conference |last=Omohundro |first=Stephen M. |date=June 2008 |title=The basic AI drives |url=https://selfawaresystems.files.wordpress.com/2008/01/ai_drives_final.pdf |conference=Artificial General Intelligence 2008 |pages=483–492 |access-date=2020-10-02 |archive-date=2020-10-10 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201010072132/https://selfawaresystems.files.wordpress.com/2008/01/ai_drives_final.pdf |url-status=live }}</ref>

Many scholars dispute the likelihood of unanticipated cybernetic revolt as depicted in science fiction such as ''[[The Matrix]]'', arguing that it is more likely that any artificial intelligence powerful enough to threaten humanity would probably be programmed not to attack it. Pinker acknowledges the possibility of deliberate "bad actors", but states that in the absence of bad actors, unanticipated accidents are not a significant threat; Pinker argues that a culture of engineering safety will prevent AI researchers from accidentally unleashing malign superintelligence.<ref name="pinker now" /> In contrast, Yudkowsky argues that humanity is less likely to be threatened by deliberately aggressive AIs than by AIs which were programmed such that their [[unintended consequence|goals are unintentionally incompatible]] with human survival or well-being (as in the film ''[[I, Robot (film)|I, Robot]]'' and in the short story "[[The Evitable Conflict]]"). Omohundro suggests that present-day automation systems are not [[AI safety|designed for safety]] and that AIs may blindly optimize narrow [[utility]] functions (say, playing chess at all costs), leading them to seek self-preservation and elimination of obstacles, including humans who might turn them off.<ref name="Tucker2014">{{Cite news |last=Tucker |first=Patrick |date=17 Apr 2014 |title=Why There Will Be A Robot Uprising |agency=Defense One |url=http://www.defenseone.com/technology/2014/04/why-there-will-be-robot-uprising/82783/ |access-date=15 July 2014 |archive-date=6 July 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140706110100/http://www.defenseone.com/technology/2014/04/why-there-will-be-robot-uprising/82783/ |url-status=live }}</ref>

==== Precautions ====
{{main|AI control problem}}
The '''AI control problem''' is the issue of how to build a [[superintelligence|superintelligent]] agent that will aid its creators, while avoiding inadvertently building a superintelligence that will harm its creators.<ref>{{Cite book|first=Stuart J.|last=Russell|url=http://worldcat.org/oclc/1237420037|title=Human compatible : artificial intelligence and the problem of control|date=8 October 2019|publisher=Penguin |isbn=978-0-525-55862-0|oclc=1237420037|access-date=2 January 2022|archive-date=15 March 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230315194123/https://worldcat.org/title/1237420037|url-status=live}}</ref> Some scholars argue that solutions to the control problem might also find applications in existing non-superintelligent AI.<ref name="bbc-google">{{Cite news |date=8 June 2016 |title=Google developing kill switch for AI |work=BBC News |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-36472140 |access-date=7 June 2020 |archive-date=11 June 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160611042244/http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-36472140 |url-status=live }}</ref>

Major approaches to the control problem include ''alignment'', which aims to align AI goal systems with human values, and ''capability control'', which aims to reduce an AI system's capacity to harm humans or gain control. An example of "capability control" is to research whether a superintelligence AI could be successfully confined in an "[[AI box]]". According to Bostrom, such capability control proposals are not reliable or sufficient to solve the control problem in the long term, but may potentially act as valuable supplements to alignment efforts.<ref name=bostrom-superintelligence/>

== Warnings ==
Physicist [[Stephen Hawking]], [[Microsoft]] founder [[Bill Gates]], and [[SpaceX]] founder [[Elon Musk]] have expressed concerns about the possibility that AI could develop to the point that humans could not control it, with Hawking theorizing that this could "spell the end of the human race".<ref>{{Cite web |last=Rawlinson |first=Kevin |date=29 January 2015 |title=Microsoft's Bill Gates insists AI is a threat |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/31047780 |access-date=30 January 2015 |website=[[BBC News]] |archive-date=29 January 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150129183607/http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/31047780 |url-status=live }}</ref> Stephen Hawking said in 2014 that "Success in creating AI would be the biggest event in human history. Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless we learn how to avoid the risks." Hawking believed that in the coming decades, AI could offer "incalculable benefits and risks" such as "technology outsmarting [[Financial market|financial markets]], out-inventing human researchers, out-manipulating human leaders, and developing weapons we cannot even understand." In January 2015, [[Nick Bostrom]] joined Stephen Hawking, [[Max Tegmark]], Elon Musk, Lord [[Martin Rees, Baron Rees of Ludlow|Martin Rees]], [[Jaan Tallinn]], and numerous AI researchers in signing the [[Future of Life Institute]]'s open letter speaking to the potential risks and benefits associated with [[artificial intelligence]]. The signatories "believe that research on how to make AI systems robust and beneficial is both important and timely, and that there are concrete research directions that can be pursued today."<ref>{{Cite web |title=The Future of Life Institute Open Letter |date=28 October 2015 |url=http://futureoflife.org/ai-open-letter |access-date=29 March 2019 |publisher=The Future of Life Institute |archive-date=29 March 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190329094536/https://futureoflife.org/ai-open-letter/ |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Bradshaw |first=Tim |date=11 January 2015 |title=Scientists and investors warn on AI |url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3d2c2f12-99e9-11e4-93c1-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3TNL9lxJV |access-date=4 March 2015 |publisher=The Financial Times |archive-date=7 February 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150207042806/http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3d2c2f12-99e9-11e4-93c1-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3TNL9lxJV |url-status=live }}</ref>

Arthur C. Clarke's Odyssey series and Charles Stross's Accelerando relate to humanity's narcissistic injuries in the face of powerful artificial intelligences threatening humanity's self-perception.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Kaminski |first=Johannes D. |date=December 2022 |title=On human expendability: AI takeover in Clarke's Odyssey and Stross's Accelerando |url=https://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11059-022-00670-w |journal=Neohelicon |language=en |volume=49 |issue=2 |pages=495–511 |doi=10.1007/s11059-022-00670-w |s2cid=253793613 |issn=0324-4652}}</ref>

== Prevention through AI alignment ==

{{Excerpt|AI alignment|>

== See also ==

{{div col|colwidth=30em}}
* [[Philosophy of artificial intelligence]]
* [[Artificial intelligence arms race]]
* [[Autonomous robot]]
** [[Industrial robot]]
** [[Mobile robot]]
** [[Self-replicating machine]]
* [[Cyberocracy]]
* [[Effective altruism]]
* [[Existential risk from artificial general intelligence]]
* [[Future of Humanity Institute]]
* [[Global catastrophic risk]] (existential risk)
* [[Government by algorithm]]
* [[Human extinction]]
* [[Machine ethics]]
* [[Machine learning]]/[[Deep learning]]
* [[Transhumanism]]
* [[Self-replication]]
* [[Technophobia]]
* [[Technological singularity]]
** [[Intelligence explosion]]
** [[Superintelligence]]
*** ''[[Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies]]''
{{div col end}}

==Notes==
{{Notelist}}

== References ==
{{Reflist}}

== External links ==
* [[TED talk]]: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8nt3edWLgIg "Can we build AI without losing control over it?"] by [[Sam Harris]]

{{Existential risk from artificial intelligence|state=expanded}}
{{doomsday}}

{{DEFAULTSORT:AI takeover}}
[[Category:Doomsday scenarios]]
[[Category:Future problems]]
[[Category:Science fiction themes]]
[[Category:Science fiction themes]]
[[Category:Artificial intelligence]]
[[Category:Existential risk from artificial general intelligence]]
[[Category:Technophobia]]

Latest revision as of 23:46, 6 September 2024

Robots revolt in R.U.R., a 1920 Czech play translated as "Rossum's Universal Robots"

An AI takeover is an imagined scenario in which artificial intelligence (AI) emerges as the dominant form of intelligence on Earth and computer programs or robots effectively take control of the planet away from the human species, which relies on human intelligence. Stories of AI takeovers remain popular throughout science fiction, but recent advancements have made the threat more real. Possible scenarios include replacement of the entire human workforce due to automation, takeover by a superintelligent AI (ASI), and the notion of a robot uprising. Some public figures, such as Stephen Hawking and Elon Musk, have advocated research into precautionary measures to ensure future superintelligent machines remain under human control.[1]

Types

[edit]

Automation of the economy

[edit]

The traditional consensus among economists has been that technological progress does not cause long-term unemployment. However, recent innovation in the fields of robotics and artificial intelligence has raised worries that human labor will become obsolete, leaving people in various sectors without jobs to earn a living, leading to an economic crisis.[2][3][4][5] Many small and medium size businesses may also be driven out of business if they cannot afford or licence the latest robotic and AI technology, and may need to focus on areas or services that cannot easily be replaced for continued viability in the face of such technology.[6]

Technologies that may displace workers

[edit]

AI technologies have been widely adopted in recent years. While these technologies have replaced some traditional workers, they also create new opportunities. Industries that are most susceptible to AI takeover include transportation, retail, and military. AI military technologies, for example, allow soldiers to work remotely without risk of injury. A study in 2024 highlights AI's ability to perform routine and repetitive tasks poses significant risks of job displacement, especially in sectors like manufacturing and administrative support.[7] Author Dave Bond argues that as AI technologies continue to develop and expand, the relationship between humans and robots will change; they will become closely integrated in several aspects of life. AI will likely displace some workers while creating opportunities for new jobs in other sectors, especially in fields where tasks are repeatable.[8][9]

Computer-integrated manufacturing

[edit]

Computer-integrated manufacturing uses computers to control the production process. This allows individual processes to exchange information with each other and initiate actions. Although manufacturing can be faster and less error-prone by the integration of computers, the main advantage is the ability to create automated manufacturing processes. Computer-integrated manufacturing is used in automotive, aviation, space, and ship building industries.

White-collar machines

[edit]

The 21st century has seen a variety of skilled tasks partially taken over by machines, including translation, legal research, and journalism. Care work, entertainment, and other tasks requiring empathy, previously thought safe from automation, have also begun to be performed by robots.[10][11][12][13]

Autonomous cars

[edit]

An autonomous car is a vehicle that is capable of sensing its environment and navigating without human input. Many such vehicles are being developed, but as of May 2017, automated cars permitted on public roads are not yet fully autonomous. They all require a human driver at the wheel who at a moment's notice can take control of the vehicle. Among the obstacles to widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles are concerns about the resulting loss of driving-related jobs in the road transport industry. On March 18, 2018, the first human was killed by an autonomous vehicle in Tempe, Arizona by an Uber self-driving car.[14]

AI-generated content

[edit]

The use of automated content has become relevant since the technological advancements in artificial intelligence models such as ChatGPT, DALL-E, and Stable Diffusion. In most cases, AI-generated content such as imagery, literature, and music are produced through text prompts and these AI models have been integrated into other creative programs. Artists are threatened by displacement from AI-generated content due to these models sampling from other creative works, producing results sometimes indiscernible to those of man-made content. This complication has become widespread enough to where other artists and programmers are creating software and utility programs to retaliate against these text-to-image models from giving accurate outputs. While some industries in the economy benefit from artificial intelligence through new jobs, this issue does not create new jobs and threatens replacement entirely. It has made public headlines in the media recently: In February 2024, Willy's Chocolate Experience in Glasgow, Scotland was an infamous children's event in which the imagery and scripts were created using artificial intelligence models to the dismay of children, parents, and actors involved. There is an ongoing lawsuit placed against OpenAI from The New York Times where it is claimed that there is copyright infringement due to the sampling methods their artificial intelligence models use for their outputs.[15][16][17][18][19]

Eradication

[edit]

Scientists such as Stephen Hawking are confident that superhuman artificial intelligence is physically possible, stating "there is no physical law precluding particles from being organised in ways that perform even more advanced computations than the arrangements of particles in human brains".[20][21] Scholars like Nick Bostrom debate how far off superhuman intelligence is, and whether it poses a risk to mankind. According to Bostrom, a superintelligent machine would not necessarily be motivated by the same emotional desire to collect power that often drives human beings but might rather treat power as a means toward attaining its ultimate goals; taking over the world would both increase its access to resources and help to prevent other agents from stopping the machine's plans. As an oversimplified example, a paperclip maximizer designed solely to create as many paperclips as possible would want to take over the world so that it can use all of the world's resources to create as many paperclips as possible, and, additionally, prevent humans from shutting it down or using those resources on things other than paperclips.[22]

In fiction

[edit]

AI takeover is a common theme in science fiction. Fictional scenarios typically differ vastly from those hypothesized by researchers in that they involve an active conflict between humans and an AI or robots with anthropomorphic motives who see them as a threat or otherwise have active desire to fight humans, as opposed to the researchers' concern of an AI that rapidly exterminates humans as a byproduct of pursuing its goals.[23] The idea is seen in Karel Čapek's R.U.R., which introduced the word robot in 1921,[24] and can be glimpsed in Mary Shelley's Frankenstein (published in 1818), as Victor ponders whether, if he grants his monster's request and makes him a wife, they would reproduce and their kind would destroy humanity.[25]

According to Toby Ord, the idea that an AI takeover requires robots is a misconception driven by the media and Hollywood. He argues that the most damaging humans in history were not physically the strongest, but that they used words instead to convince people and gain control of large parts of the world. He writes that a sufficiently intelligent AI with an access to the internet could scatter backup copies of itself, gather financial and human resources (via cyberattacks or blackmails), persuade people on a large scale, and exploit societal vulnerabilities that are too subtle for humans to anticipate.[26]

The word "robot" from R.U.R. comes from the Czech word, robota, meaning laborer or serf. The 1920 play was a protest against the rapid growth of technology, featuring manufactured "robots" with increasing capabilities who eventually revolt.[27] HAL 9000 (1968) and the original Terminator (1984) are two iconic examples of hostile AI in pop culture.[28]

Contributing factors

[edit]

Advantages of superhuman intelligence over humans

[edit]

Nick Bostrom and others have expressed concern that an AI with the abilities of a competent artificial intelligence researcher would be able to modify its own source code and increase its own intelligence. If its self-reprogramming leads to getting even better at being able to reprogram itself, the result could be a recursive intelligence explosion in which it would rapidly leave human intelligence far behind. Bostrom defines a superintelligence as "any intellect that greatly exceeds the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest", and enumerates some advantages a superintelligence would have if it chose to compete against humans:[23][29]

  • Technology research: A machine with superhuman scientific research abilities would be able to beat the human research community to milestones such as nanotechnology or advanced biotechnology
  • Strategizing: A superintelligence might be able to simply outwit human opposition
  • Social manipulation: A superintelligence might be able to recruit human support,[23] or covertly incite a war between humans[30]
  • Economic productivity: As long as a copy of the AI could produce more economic wealth than the cost of its hardware, individual humans would have an incentive to voluntarily allow the Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) to run a copy of itself on their systems
  • Hacking: A superintelligence could find new exploits in computers connected to the Internet, and spread copies of itself onto those systems, or might steal money to finance its plans

Sources of AI advantage

[edit]

According to Bostrom, a computer program that faithfully emulates a human brain, or that runs algorithms that are as powerful as the human brain's algorithms, could still become a "speed superintelligence" if it can think orders of magnitude faster than a human, due to being made of silicon rather than flesh, or due to optimization increasing the speed of the AGI. Biological neurons operate at about 200 Hz, whereas a modern microprocessor operates at a speed of about 2,000,000,000 Hz. Human axons carry action potentials at around 120 m/s, whereas computer signals travel near the speed of light.[23]

A network of human-level intelligences designed to network together and share complex thoughts and memories seamlessly, able to collectively work as a giant unified team without friction, or consisting of trillions of human-level intelligences, would become a "collective superintelligence".[23]

More broadly, any number of qualitative improvements to a human-level AGI could result in a "quality superintelligence", perhaps resulting in an AGI as far above us in intelligence as humans are above apes. The number of neurons in a human brain is limited by cranial volume and metabolic constraints, while the number of processors in a supercomputer can be indefinitely expanded. An AGI need not be limited by human constraints on working memory, and might therefore be able to intuitively grasp more complex relationships than humans can. An AGI with specialized cognitive support for engineering or computer programming would have an advantage in these fields, compared with humans who evolved no specialized mental modules to specifically deal with those domains. Unlike humans, an AGI can spawn copies of itself and tinker with its copies' source code to attempt to further improve its algorithms.[23]

Possibility of unfriendly AI preceding friendly AI

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Is strong AI inherently dangerous?

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A significant problem is that unfriendly artificial intelligence is likely to be much easier to create than friendly AI. While both require large advances in recursive optimisation process design, friendly AI also requires the ability to make goal structures invariant under self-improvement (or the AI could transform itself into something unfriendly) and a goal structure that aligns with human values and does not undergo instrumental convergence in ways that may automatically destroy the entire human race. An unfriendly AI, on the other hand, can optimize for an arbitrary goal structure, which does not need to be invariant under self-modification.[31]

The sheer complexity of human value systems makes it very difficult to make AI's motivations human-friendly.[23][32] Unless moral philosophy provides us with a flawless ethical theory, an AI's utility function could allow for many potentially harmful scenarios that conform with a given ethical framework but not "common sense". According to Eliezer Yudkowsky, there is little reason to suppose that an artificially designed mind would have such an adaptation.[33]

Odds of conflict

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Many scholars, including evolutionary psychologist Steven Pinker, argue that a superintelligent machine is likely to coexist peacefully with humans.[34]

The fear of cybernetic revolt is often based on interpretations of humanity's history, which is rife with incidents of enslavement and genocide. Such fears stem from a belief that competitiveness and aggression are necessary in any intelligent being's goal system. However, such human competitiveness stems from the evolutionary background to our intelligence, where the survival and reproduction of genes in the face of human and non-human competitors was the central goal.[35] According to AI researcher Steve Omohundro, an arbitrary intelligence could have arbitrary goals: there is no particular reason that an artificially intelligent machine (not sharing humanity's evolutionary context) would be hostile—or friendly—unless its creator programs it to be such and it is not inclined or capable of modifying its programming. But the question remains: what would happen if AI systems could interact and evolve (evolution in this context means self-modification or selection and reproduction) and need to compete over resources—would that create goals of self-preservation? AI's goal of self-preservation could be in conflict with some goals of humans.[36]

Many scholars dispute the likelihood of unanticipated cybernetic revolt as depicted in science fiction such as The Matrix, arguing that it is more likely that any artificial intelligence powerful enough to threaten humanity would probably be programmed not to attack it. Pinker acknowledges the possibility of deliberate "bad actors", but states that in the absence of bad actors, unanticipated accidents are not a significant threat; Pinker argues that a culture of engineering safety will prevent AI researchers from accidentally unleashing malign superintelligence.[34] In contrast, Yudkowsky argues that humanity is less likely to be threatened by deliberately aggressive AIs than by AIs which were programmed such that their goals are unintentionally incompatible with human survival or well-being (as in the film I, Robot and in the short story "The Evitable Conflict"). Omohundro suggests that present-day automation systems are not designed for safety and that AIs may blindly optimize narrow utility functions (say, playing chess at all costs), leading them to seek self-preservation and elimination of obstacles, including humans who might turn them off.[37]

Precautions

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The AI control problem is the issue of how to build a superintelligent agent that will aid its creators, while avoiding inadvertently building a superintelligence that will harm its creators.[38] Some scholars argue that solutions to the control problem might also find applications in existing non-superintelligent AI.[39]

Major approaches to the control problem include alignment, which aims to align AI goal systems with human values, and capability control, which aims to reduce an AI system's capacity to harm humans or gain control. An example of "capability control" is to research whether a superintelligence AI could be successfully confined in an "AI box". According to Bostrom, such capability control proposals are not reliable or sufficient to solve the control problem in the long term, but may potentially act as valuable supplements to alignment efforts.[23]

Warnings

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Physicist Stephen Hawking, Microsoft founder Bill Gates, and SpaceX founder Elon Musk have expressed concerns about the possibility that AI could develop to the point that humans could not control it, with Hawking theorizing that this could "spell the end of the human race".[40] Stephen Hawking said in 2014 that "Success in creating AI would be the biggest event in human history. Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless we learn how to avoid the risks." Hawking believed that in the coming decades, AI could offer "incalculable benefits and risks" such as "technology outsmarting financial markets, out-inventing human researchers, out-manipulating human leaders, and developing weapons we cannot even understand." In January 2015, Nick Bostrom joined Stephen Hawking, Max Tegmark, Elon Musk, Lord Martin Rees, Jaan Tallinn, and numerous AI researchers in signing the Future of Life Institute's open letter speaking to the potential risks and benefits associated with artificial intelligence. The signatories "believe that research on how to make AI systems robust and beneficial is both important and timely, and that there are concrete research directions that can be pursued today."[41][42]

Arthur C. Clarke's Odyssey series and Charles Stross's Accelerando relate to humanity's narcissistic injuries in the face of powerful artificial intelligences threatening humanity's self-perception.[43]

Prevention through AI alignment

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In the field of artificial intelligence (AI), AI alignment aims to steer AI systems toward a person's or group's intended goals, preferences, and ethical principles. An AI system is considered aligned if it advances the intended objectives. A misaligned AI system pursues unintended objectives.[44]

See also

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Notes

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References

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  2. ^ Lee, Kai-Fu (2017-06-24). "The Real Threat of Artificial Intelligence". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 2020-04-17. Retrieved 2017-08-15. These tools can outperform human beings at a given task. This kind of A.I. is spreading to thousands of domains, and as it does, it will eliminate many jobs.
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