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2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana

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The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
← 2017 (special) November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020 →
 
Nominee Greg Gianforte Kathleen Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 256,661 233,284
Percentage 50.9% 46.3%
County results
Gianforte:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Williams:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Greg Gianforte
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Gianforte
Republican

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

 
2018 Republican Party primary results by county:
  Gianforte—100%
  Gianforte—>90%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Gianforte (incumbent) 135,225 100
Total votes 135,225 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Heenan, attorney[2]
  • Grant Kier, former executive director of the Five Valleys Land Trust[3]
  • Jared Pettinato, attorney[4]
  • Kathleen Williams, former state representative[5]

Withdrew

Primary results

 
Democratic Party primary results by county:
  Williams—50–60%
  Williams—40–50%
  Williams—<40%
  Heenan—<40%
  Heenan—40–50%
  Heenan—50–60%
  Kier—<40%
  Kier—40–50%
Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathleen Williams 37,158 33.5
Democratic John Heenan 35,163 31.7
Democratic Grant Kier 26,835 24.2
Democratic Lynda Moss (withdrawn) 5,592 5.0
Democratic John Meyer 3,695 3.3
Democratic Jared Pettinato 2,440 2.2
Total votes 110,883 100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Elinor Swanson, attorney[9]

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Lean R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections/Rothenberg Political Report[11] Likely R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Lean R November 5, 2018

Endorsements

Greg Gianforte (R)
Federal politicians
Organizations
Kathleen Williams (D)
Federal politicians
Newspapers
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Gianforte (R) 		Kathleen
Williams (D) 		Elinor
Swanson (L) 		Other Undecided
Change Research (D) November 2–4, 2018 879 – 52% 44% 2% – –
Gravis Marketing October 24–26, 2018 782 ± 3.5% 48% 48% – – 3%
University of Montana October 10–18, 2018 533 ± 4.3% 45% 46% 2% – 7%
Montana State University Billings October 8–13, 2018 471 ± 4.5% 44% 41% 3% – 12%
Montana State University Bozeman September 15 – October 6, 2018 2,079 ± 2.2% 48% 40% 2% 1% 9%
Gravis Marketing September 19–22, 2018 710 ± 3.7% 51% 42% – – 8%
AARP/Benenson Strategy Group (D) September 6–16, 2018 950 ± 3.1% 46% 45% – 1% 7%
University of Montana August 13–31, 2018 466 ± 4.5% 38% 51% 3% – 8%
Gravis Marketing June 11–13, 2018 469 ± 4.5% 43% 49% – – 8%

Results

Gianforte defeated Kathleen Williams on November 6, 2018.[31]

Montana's at-large congressional district, 2018[32]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Greg Gianforte (incumbent) 256,661 50.88% +0.93%
Democratic Kathleen Williams 233,284 46.25% +1.88%
Libertarian Elinor Swanson 14,476 2.87% −2.81%
Total votes 504,421 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

See also

References

  1. ^ Michels, Holly K. (June 5, 2017). "Greg Gianforte files for re-election, extension for court appearance expected". Missoulian. Retrieved June 7, 2017.
  2. ^ Michels, Holly K. (August 7, 2017). "Democratic Billings lawyer, business owner says he's running for Greg Gianforte's seat". Independent Record. Retrieved August 7, 2017.
  3. ^ Michels, Holly K. (September 12, 2017). "Democrat jumps into primary for U.S. House race". Independent Record. Retrieved September 13, 2017.
  4. ^ Drake, Phil (October 30, 2017). "Pettinato enters race for lone congressional seat". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved October 30, 2017.
  5. ^ Michels, Holly K. (October 26, 2017). "Former Bozeman legislator joins Democratic primary for Montana's U.S. House seat". Independent Record. Retrieved October 26, 2017.
  6. ^ "Moss Drops Out of Race for Montana's US House Seat - Flathead Beacon". Flathead Beacon. April 19, 2018. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
  7. ^ Gazette, Billings. "Billings Democrat drops out of Montana House race, but will still be on the ballot". missoulian.com. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
  8. ^ "Montana Primary Election Results". The New York Times.
  9. ^ Ambarlan, Jonathon (February 27, 2018). "Billings lawyer enters Montana U.S. House race as Libertarian candidate". KTVH. Archived from the original on July 7, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
  10. ^ "2018 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. July 10, 2018.
  11. ^ "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
  12. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
  13. ^ Christian, Peter (August 30, 2018). "MONTANA GUN GROUP GRADES AND ENDORSES POLITICAL CANDIDATES". NewsTalkKGVO.com.
  14. ^ Drake, Phil (September 12, 2018). "NRA endorses Gianforte and Rosendale, targets Tester". Great Falls Tribune.
  15. ^ Michels, Holly (July 13, 2018). "Tester, Williams head to Great Falls to rally Montana Democrats for fall elections". Helena Independent Record.
  16. ^ "Gazette Opinion: Restore Civility, Elect Williams to U.S. House". Billings Gazette. October 16, 2018.
  17. ^ "Williams the moderate Montana needs". The Bozeman Daily Chronicle. October 12, 2018.
  18. ^ "Williams is by far the better candidate for US House". Missoulian. October 21, 2018.
  19. ^ Swanke, Gerald (August 6, 2018). "AFGE | AFGE Endorses Montana's Kathleen Williams for Congress". www.afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees.
  20. ^ Harris, Tammy. "2018 Endorsements | Montana AFL-CIO". Montana AFL-CIO.
  21. ^ Perry, Joe (July 12, 2018). "Montana Sportsmen Alliance PAC: Montana Sportsmen Alliance Endorses Kathleen Williams". montanasportsmenalliance.blogspot.com/. Montana Sportsmen Alliance.
  22. ^ "@williamsformt will stand up for firefighters and we stand behind her". www.facebook.com. Montana State Council of Professional Fire Fighters. July 18, 2018.
  23. ^ Stephanie Schriock (June 28, 2018). "Emily's List Endorses Kathleen Williams for Montana's At-Large Congressional District". Emily's List.
  24. ^ Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
  25. ^ Giffords, Gabrielle (July 25, 2018). "Giffords Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress in Montana - Giffords". Giffords.
  26. ^ Sittenfeld, Tiernan; Potts, Rick (September 14, 2018). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress - League of Conservation Voters". League of Conservation Voters.
  27. ^ Tyler, Dave (June 20, 2018). "Montana Conservation Voters Endorses Kathleen Williams for U.S. House of Representatives". mtvoters.org.
  28. ^ Richtman, Max (August 1, 2018). "Letter of Endorsement for Kathleen Williams - NCPSSM". www.ncpssm.org. NCPSSM-PAC.
  29. ^ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. National Organization for Women PAC. August 23, 2017.
  30. ^ "List of Endorsements: 2018 Election". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
  31. ^ "House Races Midterms 2018 America's Election HQ". FOX News]. November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 11, 2018.
  32. ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
Official campaign websites
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