Climate engineering
- See related terms: environmental engineering, geotechnical engineering
Geoengineering is the application of geosciences, where mechanics, mathematics, chemistry, and geology are used to understand and shape the design of natural and built infrastructure. Professional organizations and academic degrees acknowledge the broad scope of work practiced by geoengineers, and they stress fundamentals of science and engineering methods for the solution of complex engineering and environmental problems.
Geoengineers work in areas of transportation (especially underground transportation systems); mining, including surface and subsurface mines, mine ventilation, mine automation and robotics; water resources; isolation of nuclear and hazardous wastes; soil mechanics; hydraulic structures; deep wells for exploration and production of oil and gas; and environmental engineering.
Climate engineering, one instance where geoengineering methods can be applied, is the deliberate and large-scale intervention in the Earth’s climatic system with the aim of reducing global warming.[1][2][3] Climate engineering is a bracket-term for two categories of technologies- carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation management. Carbon dioxide removal addresses a cause of climate change by removing one of the greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. Solar radiation management attempts to offset effects of greenhouse gases by causing the Earth to absorb less solar radiation.
Geoengineering has been proposed as a potential third option for tackling global warming, alongside mitigation and adaptation.[4] Scientists do not typically suggest geoengineering the climate as an alternative to emissions control, but rather an accompanying strategy.[5] Reviews of geoengineering techniques for climate control have emphasised that they are not substitutes for emission controls and have identified potentially stronger and weaker schemes.[6][7][8]
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded in 2007 that geoengineering options for climate change "remained largely speculative and unproven."[9] The costs, benefits, and risks of many geoengineering approaches to climate change are not well understood.[10][11]
There are no known large-scale climate engineering projects except one conducted outside the scientific mainstream by Russ George. Almost all research has consisted of computer modelling or laboratory tests, and attempts to move to real-world experimentation have proved controversial. Some limited tree planting[12] and cool roof[13] projects are already underway. Ocean iron fertilization has been given small-scale research trials.[14] Field research into sulfur aerosols has also started.[15]
Voices of caution against viewing geoengineered interventions as a simple solution to climate change are largely due to the risks and partially unknown side-effects of the technologies in question. Given the vastly insufficient action on emissions reductions in climate policy to date some have argued though that the risks of such interventions are to be seen in the context of risks of dangerous climate change.[16] As a rule of thumb it would appear that the scale of risks and costs of each climate engineering option appear to be somewhat inverse: The lower the costs, the greater the risks.[16] Some have suggested that the concept of geoengineering the climate presents a moral hazard because it could reduce political and public pressure for emissions reduction.[17] Groups such as ETC Group[18] and individuals such as Raymond Pierrehumbert have called for a moratorium on deployment and out-of-doors testing of geoengineering techniques for climate control.[19][20]
Background
Several notable organizations have investigated geoengineering with a view to evaluating its potential, including the US Congress,[21] NASA,[22] the Royal Society,[23] the Institute of Mechanical Engineers,[24][25] and the UK Parliament,.[26] The Asilomar International Conference on Climate Intervention Technologies was convened to identify and develop risk reduction guidelines for climate intervention experimentation.[27]
Major environmental organisations such as Friends of the Earth[28] and Greenpeace[29] have typically been reluctant to endorse solar radiation management, but are often more supportive of some carbon dioxide removal projects, such as afforestation and peatland restoration. Some authors have argued that any public support for geoengineering may weaken the fragile political consensus to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.[30]
Proposed strategies
Several geoengineering strategies have been proposed. IPCC documents detail several notable proposals.[31] These fall into two main categories: solar radiation management and carbon dioxide removal. However, other proposals exist.
The Geoengineering Climate: Technical Evaluation and Discussion of Impacts project of the National Academy of Sciences funded by United States agencies, including NOAA, NASA, and the CIA,[32] commenced in March 2013, is expected to issue a report in fall 2014.
"An ad hoc committee will conduct a technical evaluation of a limited number of proposed geoengineering techniques, including examples of both solar radiation management (SRM) and carbon dioxide removal (CDR) techniques, and comment generally on the potential impacts of deploying these technologies, including possible environmental, economic, and national security concerns. The study will:
- Evaluate what is currently known about the science of several (3-4) selected example techniques, including potential risks and consequences (both intended and unintended), such as impacts, or lack thereof, on ocean acidification,
- Describe what is known about the viability for implementation of the proposed techniques including technological and cost considerations,
- Briefly explain other geoengineering technologies that have been proposed (beyond the selected examples), and
- Identify future research needed to provide a credible scientific underpinning for future discussions.
The study will also discuss historical examples of related technologies (e.g., cloud seeding and other weather modification) for lessons that might be learned about societal reactions, examine what international agreements exist which may be relevant to the experimental testing or deployment of geoengineering technologies, and briefly explore potential societal and ethical considerations related to geoengineering. This study is intended to provide a careful, clear scientific foundation that informs ethical, legal, and political discussions surrounding geoengineering.
The project has support from the National Academy of Sciences, the U.S. intelligence community, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. The approximate start date for the project is March 2013; a report is expected be issued in fall 2014."[33]
Solar radiation management
Solar radiation management (SRM)[2][34] projects seek to reduce sunlight absorbed (ultra-violet, near infra-red and visible). This would be achieved by deflecting sunlight away from the Earth, or by increasing the reflectivity (albedo) of the atmosphere or the Earth's surface. These methods do not reduce greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, and thus do not seek to address problems such as the ocean acidification caused by CO2. Solar radiation management projects often have the advantage of speedy deployment and effect. While greenhouse gas remediation offers a more comprehensive possible solution to climate change, it does not give instantaneous results; for that, solar radiation management is required.[dubious – discuss]
SRM methods[2] may be:
- Surface-based (land or ocean albedo modification); e.g. Cool roof—using pale-coloured roofing and paving materials.
- Troposphere-based, for example cloud whitening – using fine sea water spray to whiten clouds and thus increase cloud reflectivity.
- Upper atmosphere-based (e.g. stratospheric aerosols). Creating reflective aerosols, such as stratospheric sulfur aerosols, aluminum oxide particles, even specifically designed self-levitating aerosols.[35]
- Space-based: E.g. Space sunshade—obstructing solar radiation with space-based mirrors, asteroid dust,[36] etc.
Carbon dioxide removal
This article needs additional citations for verification. (June 2013) |
Carbon dioxide removal projects seek to remove greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. Proposed methods include those that directly remove such gases from the atmosphere, as well as indirect methods that seek to use natural processes(e.g. tree planting). Many projects overlap with carbon capture and storage and carbon sequestration projects, and may not be considered to be geoengineering by all commentators. Techniques in this category include:
- Creating biochar and mixing it with soil to create terra preta
- Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage to sequester carbon and simultaneously provide energy
- Carbon air capture to remove carbon dioxide from ambient air
- Planting trees to offset carbon emissions
- Ocean nourishment including iron fertilisation of the oceans
Justification
Tipping points and positive feedback
It is argued that climate change may cross tipping points[37] where elements of the climate system may 'tip' from one stable state to another stable state, much like a glass tipping over. When the new state is reached, further warming may be caused by positive feedback effects,.[38] An example of a proposed causal chain leading to runaway global warming is the collapse of Arctic sea ice triggering subsequent release of methane.[39]
The precise identity of such "tipping points" is not clear, with scientists taking differing views on whether specific systems are capable of "tipping" and the point at which this "tipping" will occur.[40] An example of a previous tipping point is that which preceded the rapid warming leading up to the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum. Once a tipping point is crossed, cuts in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions will not be able to reverse the change. Conservation of resources and reduction of greenhouse emissions, used in conjunction with geoengineering, are therefore considered a viable option by some commentators.[41][42][43] Geoengineering offers the hope of temporarily reversing some aspects of climate change and allowing the natural climate to be substantially preserved whilst greenhouse gas emissions are brought under control and removed from the atmosphere by natural or artificial processes.
Costs
Some geoengineering techniques, such as cool roof techniques, can be achieved at little or no cost, and may even offer a financial payback.[44] IPCC (2007) concluded that reliable cost estimates for geoengineering options had not been published.[9] More recently, early research into costs of solar radiation management have been published.[45] This suggests that "well designed systems" might be available for costs in the order of a few hundred million dollars per year.[46] These are much lower than costs to achieve comprehensive reductions in CO2 emissions[citation needed]. Such costs would be within the budget of most nations, and even a handful of rich individuals.[47]
In their 2009 report Geoengineering the climate the Royal Society adjudged afforestation and stratospheric aerosols as the methods with the "highest affordability" (meaning lowest costs). Furthermore stratospheric aerosol injection, having the highest effectiveness and affordability, would be the nearest approximation to the "ideal method", with the (significant) disadvantage of high uncertainties considering safety and unwanted side effects. While afforestation scored highly for safety, it was found to be of limited effectiveness for treating climate change (see Table 5.1, Figure 5.1., pages 48–49)[2]
Ethics and responsibility
Climate engineering would represent a large-scale, intentional effort to modify the environment, which differ from inadvertent climate change through activities such as burning fossil fuels. Intentional climate change is viewed very differently from a moral standpoint.[48] This raises questions of whether we as humans have the right to change the climate, and under what conditions this right obtains. Furthermore, ethical arguments often confront larger considerations of worldview, including individual and social religious commitments. For many, religious beliefs are pivotal in defining the role of human beings in the wider world. Some religious communities might claim that humans have no responsibility in managing the climate, instead seeing such world systems as the exclusive domain of a Creator. In contrast, other religious communities might see the human role as one of "stewardship" or benevolent management of the world.[49] The question of ethics also relates to issues of policy decision-making. For example, the selection of a globally agreed target temperature is a significant problem in any geoengineering governance regime, as different countries or interest groups may seek different global temperatures.[50]
What most ethicists, policy-makers, and scientists agree on is this: Solar radiation management is an incomplete solution to global warming.[51] The possible option of geoengineering may reduce incentives to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases. It is argued that geoengineering could be used to 'buy time' before drastic climate change happens, allowing mitigation and adaptation measures more time to be implemented and work.[52] But the opposition points out that the resources spent on geoengineering could be used for mitigation and efforts to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases. Geoengineering also does not resolve other issues related to increasing levels of carbon dioxide.
Political viability
It has been argued that regardless of the economic, scientific and technical aspects, the difficulty of achieving concerted political action on climate change requires other approaches.[53] Those arguing political expediency say the difficulty of achieving meaningful emissions cuts[54] and the effective failure of the Kyoto Protocol demonstrate the practical difficulties of achieving carbon dioxide emissions reduction by the agreement of the international community.[55] However, others point to support for geoengineering proposals among think tanks with a history of climate change skepticism and opposition to emissions reductions as evidence that the prospect of geoengineering is itself already politicized and being promoted as part of an argument against the need for (and viability of) emissions reductions; that, rather than geoengineering being a solution to the difficulties of emissions reductions, the prospect of geoengineering is being used as part of an argument to stall emissions reductions in the first place.[56]
Geoenginering poses several challenges in the context of governance because of issues of power and jurisdiction.[46] Geoengineering as a climate change solution differs from other mitigation and adaptation strategies. Unlike a carbon trading system that would be focused on participation from multiple parties along with transparency, monitoring measures and compliance procedures; this is not necessarily required by geoengineering. Bengtsson[57] (2006) argues that "the artificial release of sulphate aerosols is a commitment of at least several hundred years". This highlights the importance for a political framework that is sustainable enough to contain a multilateral commitment over such a long period and yet is flexible as the techniques innovate through time. There are many controversies surrounding this topic and hence, geoengineering has been made into a very political issue. Most discussions and debates are not about which geoengineering technique is better than the other, or which one is more economically and socially feasible. Discussions are broadly on who will have control over the deployment of geoengineering and under what governance regime the deployment can be monitored and supervised. This is especially important due to the regional variability of the effects of many geoengineering techniques, benefiting some countries while damaging others. The challenge posed by geoengineering is not how to get countries to do it. It is to address the fundamental question of who should decide whether and how geoengineering should be attempted – a problem of governance.[58]
Risks and criticisms
Various criticisms have been made of geoengineering,[59] particularly Solar Radiaton Management (SRM) methods.[60] Some commentators appear fundamentally opposed. Groups such as ETC Group[18] and individuals such as Raymond Pierrehumbert have called for a moratorium on geoengineering techniques.[19][20]
Ineffectiveness
The effectiveness of the schemes proposed may fall short of predictions. In ocean iron fertilization, for example, the amount of carbon dioxide removed from the atmosphere may be much lower than predicted, as carbon taken up by plankton may be released back into the atmosphere from dead plankton, rather than being carried to the bottom of the sea and sequestered.[61]
Incomplete solution to CO2 emissions
Techniques that do not remove greenhouse gases from the atmosphere may control global warming, but do not reduce other effects from these gases, such as ocean acidification.[62] While not an argument against geoengineering per se, this is an argument against reliance on geoengineering to the exclusion of greenhouse gas reduction.
Control and predictability problems
The full effects of various geoengineering schemes are not well understood.[11] Matthews et al.[63] compared geoengineering to a number of previous environmental interventions and concluded that "Given our current level of understanding of the climate system, it is likely that the result of at least some geoengineering efforts would follow previous ecological examples where increased human intervention has led to an overall increase in negative environmental consequences."
Performance of the systems may become ineffective, unpredictable or unstable as a result of external events, such as volcanic eruptions, phytoplankton blooms, El Niño, solar flares, etc., potentially leading to profound and unpredictable disruption to the climate system.
It may be difficult to predict the effectiveness of projects,[64] with models of techniques giving widely varying results.[65] In the instances of systems which involve tipping points, this may result in irreversible effects. Climate modelling is far from an exact science even when applied to comparatively well-understood natural climate systems, and it is made more complex by the need to understand novel and unnatural processes which by definition lack relevant observation data.[66]
Side effects
The techniques themselves may cause significant foreseen or unforeseen harm. For example, the use of reflective balloons may result in significant litter,[67] which may be harmful to wildlife.
Ozone depletion is a risk of some geoengineering techniques, notably those involving sulfur delivery into the stratosphere.[68]
The active nature of geoengineering may in some cases create a clear division between winners and losers. Most of the proposed interventions are regional, such as albedo modification in the Arctic.[69]
There may be unintended climatic consequences, such as changes to the hydrological cycle[70] including droughts[71] or floods, caused by the geoengineering techniques, but possibly not predicted by the models used to plan them.[72] Such effects may be cumulative or chaotic in nature, making prediction and control very difficult.[73]
Unreliable systems
The performance of the interventions may be inconsistent due to mechanical failure, non-availability of consumables or funding problems.
The geoengineering techniques would, in many instances, be vulnerable to being switched off or deliberately destroyed. As examples, cloud making ships could be switched off or sunk and space mirrors could be tilted to make them useless. Anyone capable of exerting such power may seek to abuse it for commercial gain, military advantage or simple terrorism.
Termination shock
If solar radiation management were to abruptly stop, the climate would rapidly warm.[74] This would cause a sudden rise in global temperatures towards levels which would have existed without the use of the geoengineering technique. The rapid rise in temperature may lead to more severe consequences than a gradual rise of the same magnitude.[74]
Weaponisation
In 1976, 85 countries signed the U.N. Convention on the Prohibition of Military or Any Other Hostile Use of Environmental Modification Techniques.[46] The Environmental Modification Convention generally prohibits weaponising geoengineering techniques. However, this does not eliminate the risk. Geoengineering techniques may serve as weapons of mass destruction, creating droughts or famines designed to destroy or disable an enemy.[75] They could also be used simply to make battlefield conditions more favourable to one side or the other in a war.[76] For example, laser-guided weapons are confounded by clouds, and thus switching off cloud machines would favour forces using such weapons, and switching them on would favour ground forces defending against them.[77]
Whilst laws or treaties may prevent the manipulation of the climate as a weapon of war,[78] it could be argued that geoengineering is itself a manipulation, and thus destroying or disabling the geoengineering structures is not prohibited. A new legal framework may be necessary in the event that large-scale geoengineering becomes established.[original research?]
Carnegie's Ken Caldeira said, "It will make it harder to achieve broad consensus on developing and governing these technologies if there is suspicion that gaining military advantage is an underlying motivation for its development..."[79]
Effect on sunlight, sky and clouds
Managing solar radiation using aerosols or cloud cover would change the ratio between direct and indirect solar radiation. This may affect plant life[80] and solar energy.[81] There will be a significant effect on the appearance of the sky from aerosol projects, notably a hazing of blue skies and a change in the appearance of sunsets.[82] Aerosols may affect the formation of clouds, especially cirrus clouds.[83]
Moral hazard
The existence of such techniques may reduce the political and social impetus to reduce carbon emissions.[84] This issue has been researched in an in-depth study by Ipsos MORI for NERC[85] The issue of moral hazard means that many environmental groups and campaigners are reluctant to advocate geoengineering for fear of reducing the imperative to cut greenhouse gas emissions.[86]
Other criticism comes from those who see geoengineering projects as reacting to the symptoms of global warming rather than addressing the real causes of climate change. Because geoengineering is a form of controlling the risks associated with global warming, it leads to a moral hazard problem. The problem is that knowledge that geoengineering is possible could lead to climate impacts seeming less fearsome, which could in turn lead to an even weaker commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions.[87]
Governance
Geoengineering opens up various political and economic issues. David Keith argues that the cost of geoengineering the Earth is within the realm of small countries, large corporations, or even very wealthy individuals.[88] Steve Rayner agrees that not all geoengineering possibilities are expensive, and that some, such as ocean iron fertilisation, are within the reach of very wealthy individuals, calling them a "Greenfinger" (after the fictional Goldfinger).[89][90] David Victor suggests that geoengineering is within the reach of any individual who has a small fraction of the bank account of Bill Gates, who takes it upon him or her self to be the "self-appointed protector of the planet".[91]
This may seem to eliminates any control over who gets to decide when to cool the Earth and how this should be done.[88] The resulting power would be enormous, and could not necessarily be readily controlled by legal, political or regulatory systems.[89] The legal and regulatory systems may face a significant challenge in effectively regulating the use of these technologies in a manner that allows for an acceptable result for society. There are however significant incentives for states to cooperate in choosing a specific geoengineering policy, which make unilateral deployment a rather unlikely event.[92]
A small number carbon offsetting firms have in the past attempted to set up unregulated and unsupervised geoengineering projects. In the long-run such firms may aim to sell carbon credits to individuals, firms or countries.
Geoengineering schemes have the potential to cause significant environmental damage, and could even end up releasing further greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.[93] Opposition to some early schemes has been intense, with respected environmental groups campaigning against them.[94]
There is presently a lack of a universally agreed framework for the regulation of either geoengineering activity or research. The London Convention addresses some aspects of the law in relation to biomass ocean storage and ocean fertilization. Scientists at the Oxford Martin School at Oxford University have proposed a set of voluntary principles, which may guide geoengineering research. The short version of the 'Oxford Principles' is:
- Principle 1: Geoengineering to be regulated as a public good.
- Principle 2: Public participation in geoengineering decision-making
- Principle 3: Disclosure of geoengineering research and open publication of results
- Principle 4: Independent assessment of impacts
- Principle 5: Governance before deployment
These principles have been endorsed by the House of Commons of the United Kingdom Science and Technology Select Committee on “The Regulation of Geoengineering”,[95] and have been referred to by authors discussing the issue of governance.[96]
The Asilomar conference was replicated to deal with the issue of geoengineering governance,[96] and covered in a TV documentary, broadcast in Canada.
Implementation issues
There is no general consensus that geoengineering is safe, appropriate or effective, for the reasons listed above. Other environmentalists see calls for geoengineering as part of an explicit strategy to delay emissions reductions on the part of those with connections to coal and oil industries.[97][improper synthesis?]
All proposed geoengineering techniques require implementation on a relatively large scale, in order to make a significant difference to the Earth's climate. The least costly schemes are budgeted at a cost of millions,[98] with many more complex schemes such as space sunshade costing far more.
Many techniques, again such as space sunshade, require a complex technical development process before they are ready to be implemented. There is no clear institutional mechanism for handling this research and development process. As a result, many promising techniques do not have the engineering development or experimental evidence to determine their feasibility or efficacy at present.
Once a technique has been developed and tested, its implementation is still likely to be difficult. Climate change is by nature a global problem, and therefore no one institution, company or government is responsible for it. The substantial costs of most geoengineering techniques therefore cannot currently be apportioned. Roll-out of such technologies is therefore likely to be delayed until these issues can be resolved. A notable exception is the use of small albedo manipulation projects, known as cool roof, in which the colour of roofing or paving surfaces can be manipulated to reflect solar radiation back into space. These can be, and are, implemented by individuals, companies and governments without controversy.[99]
Due to the radical changes caused by geoengineering interventions, legal issues are also an impediment to implementation. The changes resulting from geoengineering necessarily benefit some people and disadvantage others. There may therefore be legal challenges to the implementation of geoengineering techniques by those adversely affected by them.[100]
Evaluation of geoengineering
Most of what is known about the suggested techniques is based on laboratory experiments, observations of natural phenomena and on computer modelling techniques. Some geoengineering schemes employ methods that have analogues in natural phenomena such as stratospheric sulfur aerosols and cloud condensation nuclei. As such, studies about the efficacy of these schemes can draw on information already available from other research, such as that following the 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo. However, comparative evaluation of the relative merits of each technology is complicated, especially given modelling uncertainties and the early stage of engineering development of many geoengineering schemes.[101]
Reports into geoengineering have also been published in the United Kingdom by the Institution of Mechanical Engineers[7] and the Royal Society.[8] The IMechE report examined a small subset of proposed schemes (air capture, urban albedo and algal-based CO2 capture schemes), and its main conclusions were that geoengineering should be researched and trialled at the small scale alongside a wider decarbonisation of the economy.[7]
The Royal Society review examined a wide range of geoengineering schemes and evaluated them in terms of effectiveness, affordability, timeliness and safety (assigning qualitative estimates in each assessment). Similarly to Lenton and Vaughan,[6] the report divided schemes into "carbon dioxide removal" (CDR) and "solar radiation management" (SRM) approaches that respectively address longwave and shortwave radiation. The key recommendations of the report were that "Parties to the UNFCCC should make increased efforts towards mitigating and adapting to climate change, and in particular to agreeing to global emissions reductions", and that "[nothing] now known about geoengineering options gives any reason to diminish these efforts".[8] Nonetheless, the report also recommended that "research and development of geoengineering options should be undertaken to investigate whether low risk methods can be made available if it becomes necessary to reduce the rate of warming this century".[8]
In a 2009 review study, Lenton and Vaughan evaluated a range of geoengineering schemes from those that sequester CO2 from the atmosphere and decrease longwave radiation trapping, to those that decrease the Earth's receipt of shortwave radiation.[6] In order to permit a comparison of disparate techniques, they used a common evaluation for each scheme based on its effect on net radiative forcing. As such, the review examined the scientific plausibility of schemes rather than the practical considerations such as engineering feasibility or economic cost. Lenton and Vaughan found that "[air] capture and storage shows the greatest potential, combined with afforestation, reforestation and bio-char production", and noted that "other suggestions that have received considerable media attention, in particular "ocean pipes" appear to be ineffective".[6] They concluded that "[climate] geoengineering is best considered as a potential complement to the mitigation of CO2 emissions, rather than as an alternative to it".[6]
See also
- Arctic geoengineering
- Carbon sink
- Carbon negative fuel
- Carbon dioxide removal
- Carbon sequestration
- Convention on Biological Diversity
- Economics of climate change mitigation
- Five Ways to Save the World
- Haida Gwaii
- List of geoengineering topics
- Macro-engineering
- Outline of geoengineering
- Solar radiation management
- Terraforming
- Virgin Earth Challenge
- Weather control
References
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An ad hoc committee will conduct a technical evaluation of a limited number of proposed geoengineering techniques, including examples of both solar radiation management (SRM) and carbon dioxide removal (CDR) techniques, and comment generally on the potential impacts of deploying these technologies, including possible environmental, economic, and national security concerns.
The extended quote is in the public domain as the work of an employee of the United States government in the performance of their duties. - ^ Proposed Outline for Solar Radiation Management (Geoengineering) Framework
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|doi=10.1016/j.asr.2012.07.008
instead. - ^ Attention: This template ({{cite doi}}) is deprecated. To cite the publication identified by doi:10.1073/pnas.0705414105, please use {{cite journal}} (if it was published in a bona fide academic journal, otherwise {{cite report}} with
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|doi=10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034019
instead. - ^ a b c Robock, A., A. Marquardt, B. Kravitz, and G. Stenchikov (2009). Benefits, Risks, and costs of stratospheric geoengineering, Geophysical Research Letters, 36, D19703, doi:10.1029/2009GL039209
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instead. - ^ Keith Bower et al., 2006 Computational assessment of a proposed technique for global warming mitigation via albedo-enhancement of marine stratocumulus clouds. Atmos. Res., vol. 82, no. 1-2, 2006, pp. 328–336
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- ^ Bentley, Molly (2006-03-02). "Guns and sunshades to rescue climate". BBC News. Retrieved 2010-03-30.
- ^ "Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base". Books.nap.edu. Retrieved 2012-09-06.
- ^ The Sensitivity of Polar Ozone Depletion to Proposed Geoengineering Schemes", Science, vol. 320, no. 5880, 30 May 2008, pp. 1201–1204, doi:10.1126/science.1153966
- ^ "'Sunshade' for global warming could cause drought - environment - 02 August 2007". New Scientist. 2007-08-02. Retrieved 2012-09-06.
- ^ "Geoengineering Could Slow Down Global Water Cycle". Sciencedaily.com. 2008-05-28. Retrieved 2012-09-06.
- ^ I. M. Held et al., "Simulation of Sahel drought in the 20th and 21st centuries", Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 102, no. 50, pp. 17891–17896, doi:10.1073/pnas.0509057102. Available online at: http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/2008JD010050small.pdf
- ^ Keith Bower et al., 2006 Computational assessment of a proposed technique for global warming mitigation via albedo-enhancement of marine stratocumulus clouds. Atmos. Res., vol. 82, no. 1-2, 2006, pp. 328–336
- ^ Robock, Alan (May / June 2008). "20 reasons why geoengineering may be a bad idea ". "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists". doi:10.2968/064002006. Retrieved 2009-08-04.
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instead. - ^ "Battlefield Earth". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 2012-09-06.
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Caldiera, Ken (March 18, 2009). "DARPA and Geoengineering". Climate Intervention Google group. Retrieved 2009-03-21.
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suggested) (help) - ^ L. Gu et al., "Responses of Net Ecosystem Exchanges of Carbon Dioxide to Changes in Cloudiness: Results from Two North American Deciduous Forests", Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 104, no. 31, pp. 421–31, 434 (1999); L. Gu et al., "Advantages of Diffuse Radiation for Terrestrial Ecosystem Productivity", Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 107, (2002); L. Gu et al., "Response of a Deciduous Forest to the Mount Pinatubo Eruption: Enhanced Photosynthesis", Science, vol. 299, pp. 2,035–38 (2003)
- ^ Balan Govindasamy and Ken Caldeira, "Geoengineering Earth's Radiation Balance to Mitigate CO2-Induced Climate Change", Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 27, pp. 2,141–44 (2000). For the response of solar power systems, see Michael C. MacCracken, "Geoengineering: Worthy of Cautious Evaluation?" Climatic Change, vol. 77, pp. 235–43 (2006)
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- ^ Ipsos MORI (for NERC) (2010) Experiment Earth? Report on a Public Dialogue on Geoengineering http://www.nerc.ac.uk/about/consult/geoengineering-dialogue-final-report.pdf
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{{cite news}}
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(help) - ^ James Randerson (2008-11-18). "Geoengineering 'no substitute' for climate targets, UK minister warns". The Guardian. London: Guardian News and Media Limited.
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- ^ Urea 'climate solution' may backfire › Analysis (ABC Science)
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- ^ a b We all want to change the world
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- ^ Cool Roofs
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- ^ http://www.imeche.org/media/Public+Affairs/geoenginq.htm
Further reading
- Macnaghten, Phil; Owen, Richard (2011). "Environmental Science: Good Governance for Geoengineering". Nature. 479 (7373): 293. Bibcode:2011Natur.479..293M. doi:10.1038/479293a. PMID 22094673.
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ignored (help) – Abstract only (subscription required) - Royal Society (2009). Geoengineering the Climate: Science, Governance and Uncertainty (PDF) (Report). p. 1. ISBN 978-0-85403-773-5. Retrieved 2011-12-01.
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ignored (help) - GAO (2011). Climate Engineering: Technical Status, Future Directions, and Potential Responses (PDF) (Report). Center for Science, Technology, and Engineering. Retrieved 2011-12-01.
{{cite report}}
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ignored (help) - Launder, Brian; Thompson, J. Michael T., eds. (December 2009). Geo-Engineering Climate Change: Environmental Necessity or Pandora's Box?. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-521-19803-5.
- Eli Kintisch (2010). Hack the Planet: Science's Best Hope, or Worst Nightmare, for Averting Climate Catastrophe. ISBN 978-0-470-52426-8.
- Jeff Goodell (2010). How to Cool the Planet: Geoengineering and the Audacious Quest to Fix Earth's Climate. ISBN 978-0-618-99061-0.
- Morton, Oliver (May 10, 2007). "Climate change: Is this what it takes to save the world?". Nature. 447 (7141): 132–136. Bibcode:2007Natur.447..132M. doi:10.1038/447132a. PMID 17495899. – Abstract only (subscription required)
- James Rodger Fleming (September 15, 2010). Fixing the Sky: The Checkered History of Weather and Climate Control. Columbia University Press. ISBN 978-0-231-14412-4.
- Granger Morgan, Katharine Ricke (2010). An Opinion Piece for IRGC. Cooling the Earth Through Solar Radiation Management: The need for research and an approach to its governance. ISBN 978-2-9700672-8-3
- If Cutting Carbon Emissions Isn't Working, What's Next? March 2012 "Suck It Up" book review
External links
Studies
- Royal Society "Geoengineering the Climate: Science, Governance and Uncertainty." Report. ISBN 978-0-85403-773-5. September, 2009
- Climate Engineering Kiel Earth Institute and Marsilius Kolleg of Heidelberg University, since Sept 2011
- Engineering the Climate : Research Needs and Strategies for International Coordination October 2010 report from the U.S. House of Representatives
- Cost evaluation study of 6 geoengineering schemes[unreliable source?]
Articles (newspapers and magazines)
- Geoengineering may be our best chance to save what sea ice is left by Peter Wadhams Scientific American December 15, 2012
- Geo-engineering - A Tool in the Fight to Tackle Climate Change, or a Dangerous Distraction? by Jon Taylor, Climate Change Programme Manager at WWF-UK, September 11, 2012 Huffington Post
- Field test stashes climate-warming carbon in deep ocean; Strategically dumping metal puts greenhouse gas away, possibly for good July 18, 2012 Science News
- Geoengineering: An Interim strategy to curb global warming? - An interview with John Latham
- What the UN ban on geoengineering really means November 1, 2010 by Fred Pearce of New Scientist
- Geoengineering sparks international ban, first-ever congressional report Juliet Eilperin Washington Post October 30, 2010
- Threat of global warming sparks U.S. interest in geoengineering by Juliet Eilperin of the Washington Post October 3, 2010
- The powerful coalition that wants to engineer the world's climate: Businessmen, scientists and right-wing thinktanks are joining forces to promote 'geo-engineering' ideas to cool the planet's climate Clive Hamilton The Guardian, September 13, 2010
- Bill Gates' cloud-whitening trials 'a dangerous experiment', The Guardian, May 14, 2010 regarding Bill Gates
- We need birth control, not geoengineering, The Guardian, April 6, 2010
- "The Geoengineering Gambit", Technology Review, Jan. 2010
- Re-Engineering the Earth July 2009 The Atlantic
- Geo-engineering in the Southern Ocean, by John Paull, Australian National University, 2009
- 10 Ideas That Are Changing The World: 6.Geoengineering Time (magazine), March 2008
- Geoengineering Retrospective Overview of articles on geoengineering by Julia Levitt, Worldchanging, August 2008
- "Futuristic fleet of 'cloudseeders'" John Latham BBC News. Feb. 15, 2007
- Geo-engineering website, describing current methods/proposals done to revert climate change by geo-engineering, by Sam Carana
- Climate Engineering Is Doable, as Long as We Never Stop Wired (magazine), July 2007
- Geoengineering links, GeoCrisis annotated list, 2006?
- Terraforming Earth IV: The Question of Methane August 11, 2005 Jamais Cascio
- Geoengineering: 'A Bad Idea Whose Time Has Come' discussion on NPR
- "Geoengineering: A Climate Change Manhattan Project" by Jay Michaelson, Stanford Environmental Law Journal, 1998
Videos (documentaries, interviews, video reports)
- A Debate on Geoengineering: Vandana Shiva vs. Gwynne Dyer – video report by Democracy Now!
- 5 ways to save the earth, BBC documentary about geo-engineering, 20 February 2007
- Wonderfest 2010: Dare We Try to Engineer Earth's Climate?, Speakers: Julio Friedmann, Jane C.S. Long, Location: Stanley Hall, Berkeley (CA), 11 July 2010
- Project Earth (TV series) on geoengineering