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First-preference

[edit]

2023

[edit]
Date Firm Interview mode Sample size Liberal/National Labor Greens One Nation United Australia Other Undecided Lead
21–25 June 2023 Essential Online 1,148 30% 32% 14% 7% 11% 6% 2
16–24 June 2023 Newspoll-YouGov Online 2,303 35% 38% 11% 6% 10% 3
7–11 June 2023 Essential[1] Online 1,123 32% 32% 16% 5% 1% 9% 5% Tie
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[2][a] Online 1,606 30% 40% 12% 6% 2% 10% 10
31 May – 3 June 2023 Newspoll-YouGov[3] Online 1,549 34% 38% 12% 6% 10% 4
24–28 May 2023 Essential[1] Online 1,138 31% 34% 15% 6% 2% 7% 5% 3
17 May 2023 Stuart Robert resigns from parliament, triggering a by-election in Fadden[4]
15–17 May 2023 Freshwater Strategy[5] Online 1,005 37% 34% 12% 17% 3
14–16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[6][a] Online 1,610 30% 42% 12% 5% 2% 8% 2% 12
10–14 May 2023 Newspoll-YouGov[7] Online 1,516 34% 38% 11% 7% 4
19–22 April 2023 Newspoll-YouGov[8] Online 1,514 33% 38% 11% 7% 5
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic[9][a] Online 1,609 28% 42% 12% 6% 1% 11% 14
1 April 2023 Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election [10]
29 March – 2 April 2023 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1,500 33% 38% 10% 8% 11% 5
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic[a] Online 1,600 30% 39% 13% 5% 13% 9
1–5 March 2023 Essential 1,141 32% 32% 12% 7% 10% 7% Tie
27 February – 5 March 2023 Roy Morgan Online/telephone 33.5% 38% 11.5% 17% 4.5
1–4 March 2023 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1,530 35% 37% 10% 7% 11% 2
20–26 February 2023 Roy Morgan Online 34.5% 37% 13.5% 15% 3.5
15–19 February 2023 Essential >1,000 30% 33% 14% 6% 3% 8% 8% 3
13–19 February 2023 Roy Morgan Online >1,000 33% 37% 13% 17% 4
15–18 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[11][a] Online 1,604 31% 40% 10% 5% 1% 11% 11
17 February 2023 Alan Tudge resigns from parliament, triggering a by-election in Aston[12]
1–6 February 2023 Essential Online 1,604 30% 33% 17% 6% 15% 5% 3
1–2 February 2023 Newspoll-YouGov[13] Online >1,000 34% 38% 11% 6% 1% 10% 4
23–29 January 2023 Roy Morgan Online/telephone 1,512 33.5% 37.5% 11.5% 17.5% 4
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic[14][a] Online 1,606 29% 42% 11% 6% 2% 11% 13

2022

[edit]
Date Firm Interview mode Sample size Liberal/National Labor Greens One Nation United Australia Other Undecided Lead
23 December 2022 Andrew Gee leaves the National Party to become an independent[15]
9–11 December 2022 Freshwater Strategy[16] Online 1,209 37% 37% 12% 4% 10% Tie
7–11 December 2022 Essential Online 1,042 30% 35% 13% 8% 5% 5
30 November–4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[a] Online 1,611 30% 42% 11% 4% 2% 9% 12
30 November–3 December 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1,508 35% 39% 11% 6% 1% 17% 4
23–27 November 2022 Essential Online 1,042 30% 35% 13% 17% 6% 5
26–30 October 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[17] Online 1,500 35% 38% 11% 6% 1% 9% 3
27–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[18][a] Online 1,611 32% 39% 13% 4% 1% 11% 7
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[19][a] Online 1,604 30% 39% 12% 5% 3% 11% 9
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[20][a] Online 1,607 32% 39% 10% 6% 2% 11% 7
31 August–3 September 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[21][22] Online 1,505 31% 37% 13.5% 7% 2% 10% 6
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[23][a] Online 2,011 28% 42% 12% 5% 2% 11% 14
27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[24][25] Online 1,508 33% 37% 12% 6% 2% 10% 4
13-19 June 2022 Roy Morgan[26] Online/telephone 1,401 37% 36% 11% 4% 0.5% 11.5% 1
14–17 June 2022 Dynata[27] Online 1,001 31% 34% 12% 4% 4% 7% 9% 3
29 May 2022 Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Liberal leader[28]
21 May 2022 2022 election 35.70%
58
32.68%
77
12.25%
4
4.96%
0
4.12%
0
10.29%
12
3.12


Two-party preferred

[edit]

2023

[edit]
Date Firm Sample size Labor Liberal/National Swing
21–25 June 2023 Essential 1,148 52% 42%
16–24 June 2023 Newspoll-YouGov 2,303 54% 46% +1.87
7–11 June 2023 Essential[29][b] 1,123 52% 42%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[30][a] 1,606 60% 40% +7.87
31 May – 3 June 2023 Newspoll-YouGov[31] 1,549 55% 45% +2.87
24–28 May 2023 Essential[29][b] 1,138 51% 43%
18 May 2023 Stuart Robert resigns from parliament, triggering a by-election in Fadden[4]
15–17 May 2023 Freshwater Strategy[32] 1,005 52% 48% +0.13
14–16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[33][a] 1,610 61% 39% +8.97
10–14 May 2023 Newspoll-YouGov[34] 1,516 55% 45% +2.87
19–22 April 2023 Newspoll-YouGov[35] 1,514 56% 44% +3.87
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic[36][a] 1,609 61.5% 38.5% +2.87
1 April 2023 Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election [10]
29 March – 2 April 2023 Newspoll-YouGov 1,500 55% 45% +2.87
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic[a] 1,600 60% 40% +7.87%
1–5 March 2023 Essential[b] 1,141 49% 44%
27 February – 5 March 2023 Roy Morgan 54.5% 45.5% +2.37
1–4 March 2023 Newspoll-YouGov 1,530 54% 46% +1.87
20–26 February 2023 Roy Morgan 56.5% 43.5% +4.37
17 February 2023 Alan Tudge resigns from parliament, triggering a by-election in Aston [12]
15–19 February 2023 Essential[b] >1,000 51% 42%
13–19 February 2023 Roy Morgan 58.5% 41.5% +6.37
15–18 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[37][a] 1,604 58% 42% +5.87
1–6 February 2023 Essential[b] >1,000 55% 40%
1–2 February 2023 Newspoll-YouGov[38] 1,512 55% 45% +2.87
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic[39][a] 1,606 60% 40% +7.87

2022

[edit]
Date Firm Sample size Labor Liberal/National Swing
23 December 2022 Andrew Gee leaves the National Party to become an independent[15]
9–11 December 2022 Freshwater Strategy 1,209 54% 46% +1.87
7–11 December 2022 Essential[b] 1,042 56% 44% +3.87
30 November–4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[a] 1,611 60% 40% +7.87
30 November–3 December 2022 Newspoll 1,508 55% 45% +2.87
23–27 November 2022 Essential[40][b] 1,042 51% 43%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[41][a] 1,611 57.4% 42.6% +5.27
27–30 October 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[42] 1,500 55% 45% +2.87
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[43][a] 1,604 58.30% 41.70% +6.17
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[44][a] 1,607 57% 43% +4.87
31 August–3 September 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[45][42] 1,505 57% 43% +4.87
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[46][47][a] 2,011 61.30% 38.70% +9.17
27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[48][49] 1,508 56% 44% +3.87
14–17 June 2022 Dynata[50] 1,001 52.20% 47.8% +0.07
13–19 June 2022 Roy Morgan[51] 1,401 53% 47% +0.87
29 May 2022 Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Liberal leader[52]
21 May 2022 2022 election 52.17%
77
47.87%
58
+3.66

Preferred Prime Minister

[edit]

2023

[edit]
Date Firm Sample size Preferred Prime Minister
Albanese Dutton Undecided Lead
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[53] 1,606 53% 22% 25% 31
31 May – 3 June 2023 Newspoll-YouGov[54] 1,549 55% 28% 17% 27
18 May 2023 Stuart Robert resigns from parliament, triggering a by-election in Fadden[4]
15-17 May 2023 Freshwater Strategy[55] 1,005 51% 33% 14% 18
19–22 April 2023 Newspoll[56] 1,514 54% 28% 18% 26
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Stragetic[57] 1,609 55% 21% 24% 34
1 April Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election [10]
29 March – 2 April 2023 Newspoll 1,500 58% 26% 16% 32
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic 1,600 51% 21% 28% 30
1–4 March 2023 Newspoll-YouGov 1,503 54% 28% 18% 26
17 February 2023 Alan Tudge resigns from parliament, triggering a by-election in Aston[12]
15–18 February 2023 Resolve Strategic 1,604 55% 23% 22% 32
1–2 February 2023 Newspoll-YouGov 1,512 56% 26% 18% 30
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic 1,606 55% 20% 25% 35

2022

[edit]
Date Firm Sample size Preferred Prime Minister
Albanese Dutton Undecided Lead
23 December 2022 Andrew Gee leaves the National Party to become an independent
30 November – 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic 1,611 54% 19% 17% 35
30 November – 3 December 2022 Newspoll-YouGov 1,508 59% 24% 17% 35
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[58] 1,611 53% 19% 28% 34
27–30 October 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[59] 1,500 54% 27% 19% 27
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[60] 1,604 53% 18% 29% 35
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[61] 1,607 53% 19% 28% 34
31 August – 3 September 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[62] 1,505 61% 22% 17% 39
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[63] 2,011 55% 17% 28% 38
27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov 1,508 59% 25% 16% 34
29 May 2022 Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Liberal leader[64]

Leadership approval

[edit]
2022
[edit]
Date Firm Sample Albanese Dutton
Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted Net
30 November – 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic 1,611 60% 24% 16% +36% 28% 43% 29% –15%
30 November – 3 December 2022 Newspoll 1,508 62% 29% 9% +33% 36% 45% 19% –9%
29 November 2022 Essential[65] >1,000 46% 23% 26% +23% 28% 33% 32% –5%
16–22 November 2022 Morning Consult[66] 56% 31% 25% +25%
1–15 November 2022 Essential[67] 1,035 60% 27% 13% +33%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[68] 1,611 57% 28% 15% +29% 29% 41% 30% –12%
27–30 October 2022 Newspoll[69] 1,500 59% 33% 8% +32% 39% 46% 15% –7%
13–17 October 2022 Essential[70] 1,112 58% 26% 16% +32%
13–16 October 2022 Freshwater Strategic[c][71] 1,042 50% 26% 24% +24% 33% 34% 33% –1%
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[72] 1,604 60% 24% 16% +36% 31% 41% 28% –10%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[73] 1,607 60% 24% 16% +36% 28% 40% 32% –12%
23 August – 6 September 2022 Essential[74] 1,000 59% 25% 15% +34%
31 August – 3 September 2022 Newspoll[75] 1,505 61% 29% 10% +32% 35% 43% 22% –8%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[76] 2,011 61% 22% 17% +39% 30% 38% 32% –8%
23 July 2022 – 9 August 2022 Essential[77] 1,075 55% 28% 18% +27%
27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[78] 1,508 61% 26% 13% +35% 37% 41% 22% –4%
28 June–11 July 2022 Essential[79] 1,097 56% 24% 20% +32%
31 May–15 June 2022 Essential[80] 1,087 59% 18% 23% +41%
23–31 May 2022 Morning Consult[81] 3,770 51% 24% 25% +27%
  1. ^ a b "Political Insights". essentialreport.com.au. Retrieved 2023-06-17.
  2. ^ Crowe, David (13 June 2023). "Dutton gains some ground as Labor slips in poll". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 14 June 2023. Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  3. ^ Benson, Simon (4 June 2023). "Newspoll: Less than half intend to vote 'yes' to voice enshrined in Constitution". The Australian. Archived from the original on 4 June 2023. Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  4. ^ a b c Remeikis, Amy (2023-05-18). "Stuart Robert hands in official resignation, triggering byelection in Queensland seat". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2023-06-20.
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  6. ^ Crowe, David (16 May 2023). "What voters really think of Labor one year on". Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  7. ^ Bowe, William (14 May 2023). "Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor (open thread)". Poll Bludger. Retrieved 15 May 2023.
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  11. ^ Crowe, David (February 21, 2023). "Albanese's honeymoon period is over, but Dutton still trails". The Age. Nine Entertainment. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  12. ^ a b c Murphy, Katharine (2023-02-09). "Alan Tudge quits politics sparking byelection in former Liberal minister's Victorian seat". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2023-06-20.
  13. ^ Benson, Simon (6 February 2023). "Albanese's approval dips in Newspoll but Labor still 10 points ahead of Coalition". The Australian.
  14. ^ "Albanese still well ahead of Dutton as preferred prime minister: Resolve poll". 24 January 2023.
  15. ^ a b Gregory, Xanthe (2022-12-23). "Federal MP Andrew Gee quits National Party over Indigenous Voice stance". ABC News. Retrieved 2023-06-20.
  16. ^ "Australia electricity prices: Voters want price caps and more gas:new Poll". Australian Financial Review. 2022-12-18. Retrieved 2023-06-19.
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  29. ^ a b "Political Insights". essentialreport.com.au. Retrieved 2023-06-17.
  30. ^ Crowe, David (13 June 2023). "Dutton gains some ground as Labor slips in poll". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 14 June 2023. Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  31. ^ Benson, Simon (4 June 2023). "Newspoll: Less than half intend to vote 'yes' to voice enshrined in Constitution". The Australian. Archived from the original on 4 June 2023. Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  32. ^ McIlroy, Tom (19 May 2023). "Public support shifting away from the Voice: poll". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 22 May 2023.
  33. ^ Crowe, David (16 May 2023). "What voters really think of Labor one year on". Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  34. ^ Bowe, William (14 May 2023). "Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor (open thread)". Poll Bludger. Retrieved 15 May 2023.
  35. ^ Bowe, William. "Newspoll: 56-44 to Labor". Poll Bludger. Retrieved 27 April 2023.
  36. ^ Crowe, David (17 April 2023). "Dutton's voter approval hits record low as he pushes No vote on Voice". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 21 April 2023.
  37. ^ Crowe, David (February 21, 2023). "Albanese's honeymoon period is over, but Dutton still trails". The Age. Nine Entertainment. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  38. ^ Benson, Simon (6 February 2023). "Albanese's approval dips in Newspoll but Labor still 10 points ahead of Coalition". The Australian.
  39. ^ "Albanese still well ahead of Dutton as preferred prime minister: Resolve poll". 24 January 2023.
  40. ^ "Political Insights". essentialreport.com.au. Retrieved 2022-11-29.
  41. ^ Crowe, David (2022-10-31). "Small gain in Coalition's primary vote but Labor holds its lead, new research shows". The Age. Retrieved 2022-10-31.
  42. ^ a b "Newspoll: 57-43 to Labor (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 2022-09-05.
  43. ^ Crowe, David (2022-10-11). "Labor leads Coalition on climate change, economy, new RPM data shows". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 2022-10-11.
  44. ^ Crowe, David (20 September 2022). "Labor's primary vote has slipped but it continues to hold a significant lead over the Coalition, new polling reveals". The Age. Retrieved 10 September 2022.
  45. ^ Benson, Simon (22 August 2022). "Newspoll: Coalition support plunges to record low". The Australian. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  46. ^ Crowe, David (22 August 2022). "Post-election surge in support for Anthony Albanese's new Labor government". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 22 August 2022.
  47. ^ Bowe, William (23 August 2022). "Resolve Strategic: Labor 42, Coalition 28, Greens 12 (open thread)". Poll Bludger. Retrieved 23 August 2022.
  48. ^ Benson, Simon (31 July 2022). "Record electoral satisfaction with PM: Newspoll". The Australian. Archived from the original on 31 July 2022. Retrieved 31 July 2022.
  49. ^ "Newspoll: 56-44 to Labor (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 2022-08-24.
  50. ^ "Polling – Voting behaviour and gender" (PDF). The Australia Institute. 11 July 2022. Retrieved 11 July 2022.
  51. ^ "ALP 53% leads the L-NP 47% as energy crisis strikes Eastern Australia". Roy Morgan Research. 21 June 2022. Retrieved 22 June 2022.
  52. ^ Karp, Paul (2022-05-29). "Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Liberal party leader with Sussan Ley as deputy". The Guardian. Retrieved 2022-05-30.
  53. ^ Crowe, David (13 June 2023). "Dutton gains some ground as Labor slips in poll". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 14 June 2023. Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  54. ^ Benson, Simon (4 June 2023). "Newspoll: Less than half intend to vote 'yes' to voice enshrined in Constitution". The Australian. Archived from the original on 4 June 2023. Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  55. ^ McIlroy, Tom (19 May 2023). "Public support shifting away from the Voice: poll". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 22 May 2023.
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  58. ^ Crowe, David (2022-10-31). "Small gain in Coalition's primary vote but Labor holds its lead, new research shows". The Age. Retrieved 2022-10-31.
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  63. ^ Crowe, David (22 August 2022). "Post-election surge in support for Anthony Albanese's new Labor government". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 22 August 2022.
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  73. ^ Crowe, David (20 September 2022). "Labor's primary vote has slipped but it continues to hold a significant lead over the Coalition, new polling reveals". The Age. Retrieved 10 September 2022.
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  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v Resolve Strategic does not provide two-party preferred calculations. The TPP is based on preference flows from the 2022 federal election and the works of William Bowe, The Poll Bludger and a calculator from Armarium Interreta.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g Essential's projection of the two-party preferred vote allows for respondents to be undecided.
  3. ^ Polling conducted in NSW.